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[对生物安全构成潜在威胁的人畜共患病毒种群基因库的形成]

[Formation of population gene pools of zoonotic viruses, potentially threatening biosafety].

作者信息

Lvov D K, Gulyukin M I, Zaberezhniy A D, Gulyukin A M

机构信息

D.I. Ivanovsky Institute of Virology. N.F Gamaleya National Research Center of Epidemiology and Microbiology of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Russian Federation.

Federal State Budget Scientific Institution «Federal Scientific Center VIEV».

出版信息

Vopr Virusol. 2020 Nov 14;65(5):243-258. doi: 10.36233/0507-4088-2020-65-5-1.

Abstract

The possible formation of population gene pools of zoonotic viruses with a respiratory route of transmission and a possibility of a pandemic at different stages of biosphere evolution is analyzed. Forming of Poxviruses  (Entomopoxvirinae) gene pool could be the beginning of transformation from Plants to Arthropoda (Carbon - 375 million years ago) with further evolution connected with Rodentia (Pliocene - 75-70 million years ago) and further separation of genera (500-300 thousand years ago), and respiratory transmission (epidemics) between humans (10-2 thousand years BC). Smallpox comeback would be possible. Orthomyxoviruses relicts (genus Isavirus) were possibly connected with Ichthya (Silurian - 500-410 million years ago), and then close interaction with Aves (the Cretaceous, 125-110 million years ago) with the division of genera and respiratory transmission (epidemics) between humans (10-2 thousand BC). Next pandemic of influenza A could be catastrophic in terms of the number of victims and economic damage.Coronaviruses formed a gene pool by interaction with Amphibia (subfamily Letovirinae) and then with Chiroptera in Tertiary (110-75 million years ago) with transformation to Artiodactyla (Eocene - 70-60 million years ago), and only 10-2 thousand years BC acquired the ability to a respiratory transmission and became Alphaviruses, a seasonal infection of humans. A similar situation is possible in the near future with SARS-CoV-2. Pandemics associated with zoonoses even more serious than COVID-19 are likely. Constant monitoring of  populational gene pools of zoonotic viruses is necessary.

摘要

分析了在生物圈演化的不同阶段,具有呼吸道传播途径且有可能引发大流行的人畜共患病毒种群基因库的可能形成情况。痘病毒(昆虫痘病毒亚科)基因库的形成可能是从植物向节肢动物转变的开端(3.75亿年前的石炭纪),其进一步演化与啮齿动物相关(上新世 - 7500 - 7000万年前),随后属类进一步分化(50 - 30万年前),并在人类之间出现呼吸道传播(流行病)(公元前10000 - 2000年)。天花有可能卷土重来。正粘病毒遗迹(艾氏病毒属)可能与鱼类有关(志留纪 - 5亿 - 4.1亿年前),然后与鸟类密切相互作用(白垩纪,1.25亿 - 1.1亿年前),随后属类分化并在人类之间出现呼吸道传播(流行病)(公元前10000 - 2000年)。接下来的甲型流感大流行在受害者数量和经济损失方面可能是灾难性的。冠状病毒通过与两栖动物(勒托病毒亚科)相互作用,然后在第三纪与翼手目动物相互作用形成基因库(1.1亿 - 7500万年前),并转变为偶蹄目动物(始新世 - 7000 - 6000万年前),直到公元前10000 - 2000年才获得呼吸道传播能力并成为甲型病毒,成为人类的季节性感染源。在不久的将来,SARS-CoV-2可能会出现类似情况。与人畜共患病相关的大流行可能比COVID-19更严重。有必要持续监测人畜共患病毒的种群基因库。

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