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2004 年至 2017 年中国非法土地利用的时空特征及其驱动因素。

Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Illegal Land Use and Its Driving Factors in China from 2004 to 2017.

机构信息

School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China.

School of Politics, Law and Public Administration, Hubei University, Wuhan 430000, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 2;18(3):1336. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18031336.

Abstract

The scientific analysis of spatial-temporal differentiation characteristics and driving factors of illegal land use is of great significance for the formulation and optimization of policies to control the emergence of illegal land use. This paper establishes two variable systems of illegal land use and its driving factors, defined the multidimensional characteristic variables of illegal land use and analyzes the relationships among them by the Pearson's correlation coefficient; In addition, the spatial-temporal characteristics of each variable of illegal land use from 2004 to 2017 are described by the spatial autocorrelation analysis; Finally, based on the geographical detectors, the influence direction and degree of the factors of economic structure, social structure and land market behavior on the characteristics of different illegal land use are studied. The results show that the spatial agglomeration of different characteristics of illegal land use had been weakening from 2004 to 2017, but the rate of weakening was different, and L-L agglomeration changed between Xinjiang and other central-western provinces, H-H agglomeration changed in the coastal regions of the central-eastern of China, the level and ability of the central government and local governments to govern illegal land use is constantly improving on the whole; the compositional factors of economic development structure, social development structure, and land market behavior of driving factors had different influence in the degree, the location or the direction of different characteristics of illegal land use. According to the spatial-temporal characteristics and the differences of driving factors, managers can formulate differentiated illegal land use control policies, which will help to control the occurrence of illegal land use and help the settlement of illegal land use cases, and ultimately achieve sustainable development.

摘要

非法用地时空分异特征及驱动因素的科学分析,对于制定和优化控制非法用地产生的政策具有重要意义。本文构建了非法用地及其驱动因素的两个变量系统,定义了非法用地多维特征变量,并通过 Pearson 相关系数分析了它们之间的关系;此外,通过空间自相关分析描述了 2004 年至 2017 年非法用地各变量的时空特征;最后,基于地理探测器研究了经济结构、社会结构和土地市场行为因素对不同非法用地特征的影响方向和程度。结果表明,2004 年至 2017 年,不同特征的非法用地空间集聚程度逐渐减弱,但减弱的速度不同,L-L 集聚在新疆和其他中西部省份之间发生了变化,H-H 集聚在华东沿海地区发生了变化,中央和地方政府治理非法用地的水平和能力整体上不断提高;驱动因素的经济发展结构、社会发展结构和土地市场行为构成因素在不同特征的非法用地的程度、位置或方向上具有不同的影响。根据时空特征和驱动因素的差异,管理者可以制定差异化的非法用地控制政策,有助于控制非法用地的发生,有助于解决非法用地案件,最终实现可持续发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dee5/7908213/f9de6321d483/ijerph-18-01336-g002.jpg

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