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博茨瓦纳髋部骨折的流行病学。

Epidemiology of hip fracture in Botswana.

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, University of Botswana, Gaborone, Botswana.

Princess Marina Hospital, Gaborone, Botswana.

出版信息

Arch Osteoporos. 2021 Feb 7;16(1):24. doi: 10.1007/s11657-021-00885-x.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

A retrospective population-based survey in the Republic of Botswana determined the incidence of fractures at the hip over 3 years. The estimated number of such fractures nationwide for 2020 was 103 and is predicted to increase.

OBJECTIVE

This article describes the epidemiology of hip fractures in the Republic of Botswana.

METHODS

A retrospective patient chart review was conducted to identify from hospital registers the number of patients diagnosed with hip fracture in 2009, 2010, and 2011. Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture was determined from which lifetime probabilities and future projections for hip fracture were calculated.

RESULTS

The incidence of hip fracture was low and comparable to rates reported from Tunisia. The remaining lifetime risk of hip fracture at the age of 50 years in men and women was 1.4 and 1.1%, respectively. The incidence of hip fracture suggested that the estimated number of hip fractures nationwide in persons over the age of 50 years for 2020 was 103 and is predicted to increase by more than threefold to 372 in 2050.

CONCLUSION

The hip fracture rates can be used for healthcare planning. Additionally, these data can be used to create a FRAX model to help guide decisions about treatment.

摘要

未标注

在博茨瓦纳共和国进行的一项回顾性基于人群的调查确定了 3 年内髋部骨折的发生率。预计 2020 年全国此类骨折的数量为 103 例,预计还会增加。

目的

本文描述了博茨瓦纳共和国髋部骨折的流行病学情况。

方法

对患者病历进行回顾性分析,从医院登记处确定 2009 年、2010 年和 2011 年诊断为髋部骨折的患者人数。根据年龄和性别确定髋部骨折的发病率,由此计算出终生发生髋部骨折的概率和未来的预测。

结果

髋部骨折的发病率较低,与突尼斯的报告率相当。在 50 岁时,男性和女性发生髋部骨折的终生风险分别为 1.4%和 1.1%。髋部骨折的发病率表明,预计 2020 年全国 50 岁以上人群的髋部骨折数量为 103 例,预计到 2050 年将增加两倍多,达到 372 例。

结论

髋部骨折的发生率可用于医疗保健规划。此外,这些数据可用于创建 FRAX 模型,以帮助指导治疗决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/95fc/7867517/8522d1feda4e/11657_2021_885_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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