Department of Sociology, University of Copenhagen, 1353 Copenhagen, Denmark;
Danish Centre for Studies in Research and Research Policy, Department of Political Science, Aarhus University, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Feb 16;118(7). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2012208118.
Citations are important building blocks for status and success in science. We used a linked dataset of more than 4 million authors and 26 million scientific papers to quantify trends in cumulative citation inequality and concentration at the author level. Our analysis, which spans 15 y and 118 scientific disciplines, suggests that a small stratum of elite scientists accrues increasing citation shares and that citation inequality is on the rise across the natural sciences, medical sciences, and agricultural sciences. The rise in citation concentration has coincided with a general inclination toward more collaboration. While increasing collaboration and full-count publication rates go hand in hand for the top 1% most cited, ordinary scientists are engaging in more and larger collaborations over time, but publishing slightly less. Moreover, fractionalized publication rates are generally on the decline, but the top 1% most cited have seen larger increases in coauthored papers and smaller relative decreases in fractional-count publication rates than scientists in the lower percentiles of the citation distribution. Taken together, these trends have enabled the top 1% to extend its share of fractional- and full-count publications and citations. Further analysis shows that top-cited scientists increasingly reside in high-ranking universities in western Europe and Australasia, while the United States has seen a slight decline in elite concentration. Our findings align with recent evidence suggesting intensified international competition and widening author-level disparities in science.
引文是科学领域中地位和成功的重要基石。我们使用了一个包含超过 400 万作者和 2600 万篇科学论文的关联数据集,来量化作者层面上累积引文不平等和集中趋势。我们的分析跨越了 15 年和 118 个科学学科,表明一小部分精英科学家获得了越来越多的引文份额,而且引文不平等在自然科学、医学科学和农业科学领域都在加剧。引文集中化的上升与更倾向于合作的趋势相吻合。虽然最受引用的前 1%的科学家的合作和全计数出版率呈同步增长,但普通科学家随着时间的推移,合作的次数和规模都在增加,而出版的论文却略有减少。此外,碎片化出版率普遍呈下降趋势,但最受引用的前 1%的科学家的合著论文比例有所增加,而相对的碎片化计数出版率下降幅度小于引用分布中较低百分位的科学家。总的来说,这些趋势使前 1%的科学家扩大了他们在碎片化和全计数出版物和引文方面的份额。进一步的分析表明,顶尖科学家越来越集中在西欧和澳大拉西亚的顶尖大学,而美国在精英集中方面略有下降。我们的研究结果与最近的证据一致,这些证据表明国际竞争加剧,科学领域的作者层面差距扩大。