Melese Dawit, Feyissa Shiferaw
Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
Adama Science and Technology University, Adama, Ethiopia.
Heliyon. 2021 Feb 9;7(2):e06193. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06193. eCollection 2021 Feb.
In this paper, we present and analyze a spatio-temporal eco-epidemiological model of a prey predator system where prey population is infected with a disease. The prey population is divided into two categories, susceptible and infected. The susceptible prey is assumed to grow logistically in the absence of disease and predation. The predator population follows the modified Leslie-Gower dynamics and predates both the susceptible and infected prey population with Beddington-DeAngelis and Holling type II functional responses, respectively. The boundedness of solutions, existence and stability conditions of the biologically feasible equilibrium points of the system both in the absence and presence of diffusion are discussed. It is found that the disease can be eradicated if the rate of transmission of the disease is less than the death rate of the infected prey. The system undergoes a transcritical and pitchfork bifurcation at the Disease Free Equilibrium Point when the prey infection rate crosses a certain threshold value. Hopf bifurcation analysis is also carried out in the absence of diffusion, which shows the existence of periodic solution of the system around the Disease Free Equilibrium Point and the Endemic Equilibrium Point when the ratio of the rate of intrinsic growth rate of predator to prey crosses a certain threshold value. The system remains locally asymptotically stable in the presence of diffusion around the disease free equilibrium point once it is locally asymptotically stable in the absence of diffusion. The Analytical results show that the effect of diffusion can be managed by appropriately choosing conditions on the parameters of the local interaction of the system. Numerical simulations are carried out to validate our analytical findings.
在本文中,我们提出并分析了一个捕食者 - 猎物系统的时空生态流行病学模型,其中猎物种群感染了一种疾病。猎物种群分为两类,即易感个体和感染个体。假设易感猎物在没有疾病和捕食的情况下呈逻辑斯谛增长。捕食者种群遵循修正的莱斯利 - 高尔模型动力学,分别以贝丁顿 - 迪安吉利斯和霍林II型功能反应捕食易感和感染的猎物种群。讨论了系统在有无扩散情况下解的有界性、生物可行平衡点的存在性和稳定性条件。结果发现,如果疾病的传播率小于感染猎物的死亡率,疾病就可以被根除。当猎物感染率超过某个阈值时,系统在无病平衡点处经历跨临界和叉形分岔。在没有扩散的情况下也进行了霍普夫分岔分析,结果表明当捕食者与猎物的内在增长率之比超过某个阈值时,系统在无病平衡点和地方病平衡点周围存在周期解。一旦系统在没有扩散时局部渐近稳定,那么在有扩散的情况下,系统在无病平衡点周围仍保持局部渐近稳定。分析结果表明,可以通过适当选择系统局部相互作用参数的条件来控制扩散的影响。进行了数值模拟以验证我们的分析结果。