Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Box 7012, 75007, Uppsala, Sweden.
University of Gothenburg, Box 645, 405 30, Göteborg, Sweden.
Ambio. 2021 Apr;50(4):794-811. doi: 10.1007/s13280-020-01481-y. Epub 2021 Feb 19.
Like the rest of the world, African countries are reeling from the health, economic and social effects of COVID-19. The continent's governments have responded by imposing rigorous lockdowns to limit the spread of the virus. The various lockdown measures are undermining food security, because stay at home orders have among others, threatened food production for a continent that relies heavily on agriculture as the bedrock of the economy. This article draws on quantitative data collected by the GeoPoll, and, from these data, assesses the effect of concern about the local spread and economic impact of COVID-19 on food worries. Qualitative data comprising 12 countries south of the Sahara reveal that lockdowns have created anxiety over food security as a health, economic and human rights/well-being issue. By applying a probit model, we find that concern about the local spread of COVID-19 and economic impact of the virus increases the probability of food worries. Governments have responded with various efforts to support the neediest. By evaluating the various policies rolled out we advocate for a feminist economics approach that necessitates greater use of data analytics to predict the likely impacts of intended regulatory relief responses during the recovery process and post-COVID-19.
与世界其他地区一样,非洲国家正在承受 COVID-19 带来的健康、经济和社会影响。非洲国家政府采取了严格的封锁措施来限制病毒的传播。各种封锁措施正在破坏粮食安全,因为居家令等措施威胁到了一个严重依赖农业作为经济基础的大陆的粮食生产。本文利用 GeoPoll 收集的定量数据,并根据这些数据评估了对 COVID-19 在当地传播和经济影响的担忧对粮食担忧的影响。撒哈拉以南非洲的 12 个国家的定性数据显示,封锁引发了人们对粮食安全的焦虑,这是一个健康、经济和人权/福祉问题。通过应用概率模型,我们发现对 COVID-19 当地传播的担忧和病毒对经济的影响增加了人们对粮食担忧的可能性。各国政府已经采取了各种措施来支持最贫困的人群。通过评估推出的各种政策,我们倡导一种女性经济学方法,需要更多地利用数据分析来预测在复苏过程中和 COVID-19 之后,旨在缓解监管的反应可能产生的影响。