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关爱环境:人力资本、自然资源与经济增长如何与巴基斯坦的环境退化相互作用?一种动态自回归分布滞后方法。

Caring for the environment: How human capital, natural resources, and economic growth interact with environmental degradation in Pakistan? A dynamic ARDL approach.

作者信息

Zhang Lingyun, Godil Danish Iqbal, Bibi Munaza, Khan Muhammad Kamran, Sarwat Salman, Anser Muhammad Khalid

机构信息

Department of Marketing, School of Business, Wuchang University of Technology, No.16, Jiangxia Avenue, Wuchang, Wuhan, Hubei Province 430223, China.

Business Studies Department, Bahria Business School, Bahria University, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jun 20;774:145553. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145553. Epub 2021 Feb 2.

Abstract

Sustainability concerns are increasing globally. Besides, in Pakistan, these concerns are increasing day by day due to lack of education as well as redundancy among human capital, depletion of natural resources and economic growth can lead to pose severe threats to the environment. To address this concern, this study examines the phenomena that in what way natural resources, human capital, and economic growth affect two important indicators i.e., ecological footprint and carbon emission in Pakistan from 1985 to 2018 by using the dynamic autoregressive distribution lag (DARDL) approach. The outcomes of the analysis indicate that in the long run human capital and natural resource has a negative link with carbon emission whereas economic growth has a positive link with carbon emission. On the other side, in the short run, human capital and economic growth have a positive link with carbon emission while natural resources have a negative link with carbon emission. Moreover, in the long and short-run human capital and economic growth has a positive link with ecological footprint whereas natural resources have a negative link with the ecological footprint. However, the results of this study also revealed the presence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in Pakistan. Moreover, creating awareness among the citizens together with governmental regulatory pressures might help in solving the problems related to the environment resulting in preserving the sustainability of future generations in Pakistan.

摘要

全球对可持续发展的关注日益增加。此外,在巴基斯坦,由于教育缺失以及人力资本冗余,这些关注也与日俱增,自然资源的枯竭和经济增长可能对环境构成严重威胁。为解决这一问题,本研究采用动态自回归分布滞后(DARDL)方法,考察1985年至2018年期间,自然资源、人力资本和经济增长如何影响巴基斯坦的两个重要指标,即生态足迹和碳排放。分析结果表明,从长期来看,人力资本和自然资源与碳排放呈负相关,而经济增长与碳排放呈正相关。另一方面,在短期内,人力资本和经济增长与碳排放呈正相关,而自然资源与碳排放呈负相关。此外,在长期和短期内,人力资本和经济增长与生态足迹呈正相关,而自然资源与生态足迹呈负相关。然而,本研究结果还揭示了巴基斯坦存在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。此外,提高公民意识以及政府的监管压力可能有助于解决与环境相关的问题,从而维护巴基斯坦后代的可持续发展。

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