Department of Urban Regional Development, Faculty of Urban and Regional Planning, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt.
Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Warszawa, Poland.
PLoS One. 2023 Aug 4;18(8):e0289615. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289615. eCollection 2023.
Addressing risks and pandemics at a country level is a complex task that requires transdisciplinary approaches. The paper aims to identify groups of the European Union countries characterized by a similar COVID-19 Resilience Index (CRI). Developed in the paper CRI index reflects the countries' COVID-19 risk and their readiness for a crisis situation, including a pandemic. Moreover, the study detects the factors that significantly differentiate the distinguished groups. According to our research, Bulgaria, Hungary, Malta, and Poland have the lowest COVID-19 Resilience Index score, with Croatia, Greece, Czechia, and Slovakia following close. At the same time, Ireland and Scandinavian countries occupy the top of the leader board, followed by Luxemburg. The Kruskal-Wallis test results indicate four COVID-19 risk indicators that significantly differentiate the countries in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Among the significant factors are not only COVID-19-related factors, i.e., the changes in residential human mobility, the stringency of anti-COVID-19 policy, but also strictly environmental factors, namely pollution and material footprint. It indicates that the most critical global environmental issues might be crucial in the phase of a future pandemic. Moreover, we detect eight readiness factors that significantly differentiate the analysed country groups. Among the significant factors are the economic indicators such as GDP per capita and labour markets, the governance indicators such as Rule of Law, Access to Information, Implementation and Adaptability measures, and social indicators such as Tertiary Attainment and Research, Innovation, and Infrastructure.
在国家层面应对风险和大流行病是一项复杂的任务,需要跨学科方法。本文旨在确定具有相似 COVID-19 恢复力指数(CRI)的欧盟国家群体。本文中开发的 CRI 指数反映了各国的 COVID-19 风险及其对危机情况(包括大流行病)的准备情况。此外,该研究还发现了显着区分不同群体的因素。根据我们的研究,保加利亚、匈牙利、马耳他和波兰的 COVID-19 恢复力指数得分最低,紧随其后的是克罗地亚、希腊、捷克共和国和斯洛伐克。与此同时,爱尔兰和斯堪的纳维亚国家占据榜首,卢森堡紧随其后。Kruskal-Wallis 检验结果表明,在 COVID-19 大流行的第一年,有四个 COVID-19 风险指标显着区分了各国。在显着因素中,不仅有与 COVID-19 相关的因素,即居住人口流动性的变化、反 COVID-19 政策的严格程度,还有严格的环境因素,即污染和物质足迹。这表明,最关键的全球环境问题在未来大流行阶段可能至关重要。此外,我们还发现了八个显着区分分析国家群体的准备因素。在显着因素中,有经济指标,如人均 GDP 和劳动力市场,治理指标,如法治、获取信息、实施和适应措施,以及社会指标,如高等教育程度和研究、创新和基础设施。