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运用有序回归推进对不同自杀结局的理解。

Using ordinal regression for advancing the understanding of distinct suicide outcomes.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, USA.

出版信息

Suicide Life Threat Behav. 2021 Feb;51(1):65-75. doi: 10.1111/sltb.12669.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

As recent advances in suicide research have underscored the importance of studying distinct suicide outcomes (i.e., suicidal thinking vs. behavior), there is a need to consider the theoretical meaningfulness of our statistical approach(es). As an alternative to more popular statistical methods, we introduce ordinal regression, detailing specific forms that are well-aligned to examine outcomes specific to suicide research.

METHOD

Ordinal regression models allow for assessment of the influences of covariates on the experience of lower (i.e., suicidal ideation) to higher (i.e., suicidal planning) suicide risk outcomes.

RESULTS

As an empirical application, we fit a sequential ordinal regression model with 17 theoretically selected covariates and modeled category specific effects for each covariate.

CONCLUSIONS

Results detailed from depression and presence of nonsuicidal self-injury demonstrate the utility of ordinal regression in consideration of transitions across suicide outcomes. Ordinal regression models may be particularly informative in identifying risk factors unique to each suicide outcome, which has the potential to meaningfully inform theoretical models of suicide and suicide risk prediction.

摘要

目的

随着自杀研究的最新进展强调了研究不同自杀结果(即自杀意念与行为)的重要性,我们有必要考虑我们的统计方法的理论意义。作为更流行的统计方法的替代方法,我们引入了有序回归,详细介绍了与专门研究自杀研究相关结果相一致的具体形式。

方法

有序回归模型允许评估协变量对较低(即自杀意念)到较高(即自杀计划)自杀风险结果的体验的影响。

结果

作为实证应用,我们拟合了一个具有 17 个理论上选择的协变量的顺序有序回归模型,并为每个协变量建模了类别特定的效应。

结论

从抑郁和非自杀性自伤的存在中详细得出的结果表明,有序回归在考虑自杀结果的转变方面具有实用性。有序回归模型在识别每个自杀结果特有的风险因素方面可能特别有意义,这有可能对自杀和自杀风险预测的理论模型产生有意义的影响。

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