Biometris, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Parasit Vectors. 2021 Feb 24;14(1):121. doi: 10.1186/s13071-021-04607-7.
The incidence of Lyme borreliosis varies over time and space through as yet incompletely understood mechanisms. In Europe, Lyme borreliosis is caused by infection with a Borrelia burgdorferi (s.l.) genospecies, which is primarily transmitted by a bite of Ixodes ricinus nymphs. The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial and temporal variation in nymphal infection prevalence of B. burgdorferi (s.l.) (NIP), density of questing nymphs (DON) and the resulting density of infected nymphs (DIN).
We investigated the infection rates in I. ricinus nymphs that were collected monthly between 2009 and 2016 in 12 locations in the Netherlands. Using generalized linear mixed models, we explored how the NIP, DON and DIN varied during the seasons, between years and between locations. We also determined the genospecies of the Borrelia infections and investigated whether the genospecies composition differed between locations.
The overall NIP was 14.7%. A seasonal pattern in infection prevalence was observed, with higher estimated prevalences in the summer than in the spring and autumn. This, combined with higher nymphal densities in summer, resulted in a pronounced summer peak in the estimated DIN. Over the 7.5-year study period, a significant decrease in infection prevalence was found, as well as a significant increase in nymphal density. These two effects appear to cancel each other out; the density of infected nymphs, which is the product of NIP × DON, showed no significant trend over years. Mean infection prevalence (NIP, averaged over all years and all months) varied considerably between locations, ranging from 5 to 26%. Borrelia genospecies composition differed between locations: in some locations almost all infections consisted of B. afzelii, whereas other locations had more diverse genospecies compositions.
In the Netherlands, the summer peak in DIN is a result of peaks in both NIP and DON. No significant trend in DIN was observed over the years of the study, and variations in DIN between locations were mostly a result of the variation in DON. There were considerable differences in acarological risk between areas in terms of infection prevalence and densities of ticks as well as in Borrelia genospecies composition.
莱姆病的发病率因时间和空间而异,其机制尚不完全清楚。在欧洲,莱姆病是由伯氏疏螺旋体(s.l.)的一种感染引起的,主要通过革蜱若虫的叮咬传播。本研究的目的是调查伯氏疏螺旋体(s.l.)(NIP)、革蜱幼若虫密度(DON)和感染幼若虫密度(DIN)的时空变化。
我们调查了 2009 年至 2016 年间在荷兰 12 个地点每月采集的革蜱幼若虫的感染率。我们使用广义线性混合模型,探讨了 NIP、DON 和 DIN 在季节、年份和地点之间的变化情况。我们还确定了伯氏疏螺旋体感染的基因种,并调查了这些基因种在不同地点之间的组成是否存在差异。
总体 NIP 为 14.7%。观察到感染流行率呈季节性模式,夏季的估计流行率高于春季和秋季。这与夏季幼若虫密度较高相结合,导致 DIN 的估计值在夏季出现明显高峰。在 7.5 年的研究期间,发现感染率显著下降,幼若虫密度显著增加。这两个效应似乎相互抵消;作为 NIP×DON 乘积的感染幼若虫密度,多年来没有明显的趋势。各地点的平均感染流行率(所有年份和所有月份的 NIP 平均值)差异很大,范围从 5%到 26%。不同地点的伯氏疏螺旋体基因种组成存在差异:在一些地点,几乎所有的感染都由伯氏疏螺旋体 afzelii 引起,而其他地点的基因种组成则更加多样化。
在荷兰,DIN 的夏季高峰是 NIP 和 DON 峰值的结果。在研究期间,DIN 没有观察到明显的趋势,地点之间 DIN 的差异主要是 DON 差异的结果。在感染流行率和蜱密度以及伯氏疏螺旋体基因种组成方面,各地区的节肢动物学风险存在相当大的差异。