Columbia University, Graduate School of Business, 511 Uris Hall, 3022 Broadway, New York, NY, 10027, USA.
Department of Sociology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
BMC Pediatr. 2021 Feb 25;21(1):96. doi: 10.1186/s12887-021-02551-0.
The objective of this study is to gain new insights into the relationship between clinical signs and age at diagnosis.
We utilize a new, large, online survey of 1743 parents of children diagnosed with ASD, and use multiple statistical approaches. These include regression analysis, factor analysis, and machine learning (regression tree).
We find that clinical signs that most strongly predict early diagnosis are not necessarily specific to autism, but rather those that initiate the process that eventually leads to an ASD diagnosis. Given the high correlations between symptoms, only a few signs are found to be important in predicting early diagnosis. For several clinical signs we find that their presence and intensity are positively correlated with delayed diagnosis (e.g., tantrums and aggression). Even though our data are drawn from parents' retrospective accounts, we provide evidence that parental recall bias and/or hindsight bias did not play a significant role in shaping our results.
In the subset of children without early deficits in communication, diagnosis is delayed, and this might be improved if more attention will be given to clinical signs that are not necessarily considered as ASD symptoms. Our findings also suggest that careful attention should be paid to children showing excessive tantrums or aggression, as these behaviors may interfere with an early ASD diagnoses.
本研究旨在深入了解临床症状与发病年龄之间的关系。
我们利用一项新的、大规模的在线调查,对 1743 名自闭症儿童的家长进行了调查,采用了多种统计方法,包括回归分析、因子分析和机器学习(回归树)。
我们发现,最能预测早期诊断的临床症状不一定是自闭症特有的,而是那些最终导致自闭症诊断的症状。鉴于症状之间的高度相关性,只有少数症状被发现对预测早期诊断很重要。对于一些临床症状,我们发现它们的存在和强度与延迟诊断呈正相关(例如,发脾气和攻击行为)。尽管我们的数据来自于家长的回顾性报告,但我们提供的证据表明,家长的回忆偏差和/或后见之明偏差并没有在塑造我们的结果方面发挥重要作用。
在没有早期沟通障碍的儿童中,诊断被延迟了,如果更多地关注那些不一定被视为自闭症症状的临床症状,这种情况可能会得到改善。我们的研究结果还表明,应该密切关注表现出过度发脾气或攻击行为的儿童,因为这些行为可能会干扰早期自闭症诊断。