Wein Thomas
Institut für Volkswirtschaftlehre, Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Universitätsallee 1, 21335 Lüneburg, Deutschland.
Wirtschaftsdienst. 2021;101(2):114-120. doi: 10.1007/s10273-021-2852-2. Epub 2021 Feb 20.
The end of the pandemic requires that SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be used. However, vaccination itself can lead to temporary adverse health effects and/or long-term damage. Vaccination initially represents a private good demanded by an individual cost-benefit calculus; however, it also creates positive externalities and thus too few individual incentives to vaccinate. Getting vaccinated is not a dominant rational strategy, neither in the overall population, nor among the old and the young, nor when the long-term costs of the pandemic are taken into account. It is all the more important to "price in" the long-term consequences of a lasting pandemic.
大流行的结束需要使用新冠病毒疫苗。然而,疫苗接种本身可能会导致暂时的健康不良影响和/或长期损害。疫苗接种最初是一种由个人成本效益计算所需求的私人产品;然而,它也会产生正外部性,因此个人接种疫苗的激励不足。接种疫苗并非占优理性策略,无论是在总体人群中,还是在老年人和年轻人中,亦或是在考虑到疫情长期成本的情况下。将持久疫情的长期后果“纳入考量”就显得尤为重要。