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1990 - 2017年全球、区域和国家的心肌炎及心肌病负担

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Myocarditis and Cardiomyopathy, 1990-2017.

作者信息

Dai Haijiang, Lotan Dor, Much Arsalan Abu, Younis Arwa, Lu Yao, Bragazzi Nicola Luigi, Wu Jianhong

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.

Centre for Disease Modelling, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2021 Feb 11;8:610989. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.610989. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.3389/fcvm.2021.610989
PMID:33644130
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7904878/
Abstract

To estimate the burden of myocarditis (MC), alcoholic cardiomyopathy (AC), and other cardiomyopathy (OC) for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. We collected detailed information on MC, AC, and OC between 1990 and 2017 from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017, which was designed to provide a systematic assessment of health loss due to diseases and injuries in 21 regions, covering 195 countries and territories. Estimates of MC, AC, and OC burden were produced using a standard Cause of Death Ensemble model and a Bayesian mixed-effects meta-regression tool, and included prevalence, deaths, years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs). All estimates were presented as counts, age-standardized rates per 100,000 people and percentage change, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Worldwide, there were 1.80 million (95% UI 1.64-1.98) cases of MC, 1.62 million (95% UI 1.37-1.90) cases of AC and 4.21 million (95% UI 3.63-4.87) cases of OC, contributing to 46,486 (95% UI 39,709-51,824), 88,890 (95% UI 80,935-96,290), and 233,159 (95% UI 213,677-248,289) deaths in 2017, respectively. Furthermore, globally, there were 131,376 (95% UI 90,113-183,001) YLDs and 1.26 million (95% UI 1.10-1.42) YLLs attributable to MC, 139,087 (95% UI 95,134-196,130) YLDs and 2.84 million (95% UI 2.60-3.07) YLLs attributable to AC, and 353,325 (95% UI 237,907-493,908) YLDs and 5.51 million (95% UI 4.95-5.99) YLLs attributable to OC in 2017. At the national level, the age-standardized prevalence rates varied by 10.4 times for MC, 252.6 times for AC and 38.1 times for OC; the age-standardized death rates varied by 43.9 times for MC, 531.0 times for AC and 43.3 times for OC; the age-standardized YLD rates varied by 12.4 times for MC, 223.7 times for AC, and 34.1 times for OC; and the age-standardized YLL rates varied by 38.4 times for MC, 684.8 times for AC, and 36.2 times for OC. Between 1990 and 2017, despite the decreases in age-standardized rates, the global numbers of prevalent cases, deaths, YLDs, and YLLs have increased for all the diseases. Accurate assessment of the burden of MC, AC, and OC is essential for formulating effective preventative prevention and treatment programs and optimizing health system resource allocation. Our results suggest that MC, AC, and OC remain important global public health problems with increasing numbers of prevalent cases, deaths, YLDs, and YLLs over the past decades, and there are significant geographic variations in the burden of these diseases. Further research is warranted to expand our knowledge of potential risk factors and to improve the prevention, early detection and treatment of these diseases.

摘要

评估1990年至2017年期间195个国家和地区的心肌炎(MC)、酒精性心肌病(AC)及其他心肌病(OC)的疾病负担。我们从《2017年全球疾病负担研究》中收集了1990年至2017年期间有关MC、AC和OC的详细信息,该研究旨在系统评估21个地区因疾病和伤害导致的健康损失,覆盖195个国家和地区。使用标准死因整合模型和贝叶斯混合效应元回归工具得出MC、AC和OC负担的估计值,包括患病率、死亡人数、伤残调整生命年(YLDs)和生命损失年数(YLLs)。所有估计值均以计数、每10万人的年龄标准化率和百分比变化表示,并带有95%的不确定性区间(UIs)。在全球范围内,2017年有180万例(95% UI 164 - 198万)MC病例、162万例(95% UI 137 - 190万)AC病例和421万例(95% UI 363 - 487万)OC病例,分别导致46486例(95% UI 39709 - 51824例)、88890例(95% UI 80935 - 96290例)和233159例(95% UI 213677 - 248289例)死亡。此外,在全球范围内,2017年归因于MC的伤残调整生命年为131376例(95% UI 90113 - 183001例),生命损失年数为126万例(95% UI 110 - 142万例);归因于AC的伤残调整生命年为139087例(95% UI 95134 - 196130例),生命损失年数为284万例(95% UI 260 - 307万例);归因于OC的伤残调整生命年为353325例(95% UI 237907 - 493908例),生命损失年数为551万例(95% UI 495 - 599万例)。在国家层面,MC的年龄标准化患病率相差10.4倍,AC相差252.6倍,OC相差38.1倍;MC的年龄标准化死亡率相差43.9倍,AC相差531.0倍,OC相差43.3倍;MC的年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率相差12.4倍,AC相差223.7倍,OC相差34.1倍;MC的年龄标准化生命损失年率相差38.4倍,AC相差684.8倍,OC相差36.2倍。1990年至2017年期间,尽管年龄标准化率有所下降,但所有这些疾病的全球患病例数、死亡人数、伤残调整生命年和生命损失年数均有所增加。准确评估MC、AC和OC的负担对于制定有效的预防和治疗方案以及优化卫生系统资源分配至关重要。我们的研究结果表明,MC、AC和OC仍然是重要的全球公共卫生问题,在过去几十年中,患病例数、死亡人数、伤残调整生命年和生命损失年数不断增加,且这些疾病的负担存在显著的地理差异。有必要进一步开展研究,以扩大我们对潜在风险因素的认识,并改善这些疾病的预防、早期检测和治疗。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/48295934e306/fcvm-08-610989-g0004.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/48295934e306/fcvm-08-610989-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/a27b3b6ddc1b/fcvm-08-610989-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/60be2d2df134/fcvm-08-610989-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/4e9a65609866/fcvm-08-610989-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e9c/7904878/48295934e306/fcvm-08-610989-g0004.jpg

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