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1990年至2021年0至14岁儿童心肌炎的全球、区域和国家负担:全球疾病负担研究2021分析

Global, regional, and national burden of myocarditis in children aged 0-14 years, 1990-2021: analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.

作者信息

Zhang Yi-Dong, Chen Nuo, Wang Qiao-Yu, Li Hao, Zhang Song-Yue, Xia Tian-He, He Yue-E, Rong Xing, Wu Ting-Ting, Wu Rong-Zhou

机构信息

Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Dec 20;12:1504586. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1504586. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

There are limited epidemiological data on myocarditis in children aged 0-14 years. This study aims to investigate the trends in incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and corresponding estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of myocarditis in children aged 0-14 years from 1990 to 2021.

METHODS

We utilized the 2021 Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) analytical tools to examine the incidence, mortality, and DALYs of myocarditis in children aged 0-14 years, considering factors such as age, sex, region, sociodemographic index (SDI), and data from 204 countries or regions.

RESULTS

In 2021, a total of 155.45/1000 people cases of myocarditis were reported globally in children. The cases of myocarditis in children increased from 143.80/1000 people (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 93.13-214.67) in 1990 to 155.45/1000 people (95% UI, 100.31-232.31) in 2021, increasing by 8.1% (95% UI, 6.04-9.73%). Over 30 years, the global incidence rate decreased from 8.27 (95% UI, 5.35-12.34) to 7.73 (95% UI, 4.99-11.55) per 100,000 population. The myocarditis-associated mortality rate decreased from 0.36 (95% UI, 0.25-0.51) to 0.13 (95% UI, 0.10-0.16) per 100,000 population. In 2021, the highest incidence of myocarditis in children occurred in High SDI regions. Regionally, High-income Asia Pacific had the greatest increase in incidence (EAPC, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.22-0.28). Japan had the highest incidence rate of myocarditis in children, while Haiti reported the highest myocarditis-associated mortality rate and DALYs rate. Globally, environmental/occupational risk, nonoptimal temperature, high temperature, and low temperature were key risk factors for myocarditis-associated mortality in children.

CONCLUSION

Between 1990 and 2021, myocarditis in children saw declining mortality and DALYs but rising incidence, especially in males. Children under 1 year face higher mortality and DALY rates despite lower incidence, stressing early diagnosis. High SDI regions report higher incidence but lower mortality, while low SDI areas need standardized treatment. Japan had the highest 2021 incidence, and China had the most deaths. Underscoring the urgency for enhanced medical resources, comprehensive research into the disease's etiology, and improved prevention strategies.

摘要

目的

关于0至14岁儿童心肌炎的流行病学数据有限。本研究旨在调查1990年至2021年0至14岁儿童心肌炎的发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)趋势以及相应的估计年变化百分比(EAPC)。

方法

我们利用2021年全球疾病、伤害及风险因素负担研究(GBD)分析工具,考虑年龄、性别、地区、社会人口学指数(SDI)等因素以及来自204个国家或地区的数据,研究0至14岁儿童心肌炎的发病率、死亡率和DALYs。

结果

2021年,全球儿童心肌炎报告病例数为每1000人中有155.45例。儿童心肌炎病例数从1990年的每1000人中有143.80例(95%不确定区间[UI],93.13 - 214.67)增至2021年的每1000人中有155.45例(95% UI,100.31 - 232.31),增长了8.1%(95% UI,6.04 - 9.73%)。30多年来,全球发病率从每10万人中8.27例(95% UI,5.35 - 12.34)降至7.73例(95% UI,4.99 - 11.55)。心肌炎相关死亡率从每10万人中0.36例(95% UI,0.25 - 0.51)降至0.13例(95% UI,0.10 - 0.16)。2021年,儿童心肌炎发病率最高的地区是高社会人口学指数(SDI)地区。在区域方面,高收入亚太地区发病率增长最大(EAPC,0.25;95% CI,0.22 - 0.28)。日本儿童心肌炎发病率最高,而海地报告的心肌炎相关死亡率和DALYs率最高。在全球范围内,环境/职业风险、非最佳温度、高温和低温是儿童心肌炎相关死亡的关键风险因素。

结论

1990年至2021年期间,儿童心肌炎死亡率和DALYs下降,但发病率上升,尤其是男性。1岁以下儿童发病率较低,但死亡率和DALYs率较高,强调早期诊断。高SDI地区发病率较高但死亡率较低,而低SDI地区需要标准化治疗。日本2021年发病率最高,中国死亡人数最多。强调了加强医疗资源、全面研究疾病病因和改进预防策略的紧迫性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e751/11695415/c1d44a7afee6/fpubh-12-1504586-g001.jpg

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