Department of Economics, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Department of Business Studies, Uppsala University, Kyrkogårdsgatan, Uppsala, Sweden.
J Antibiot (Tokyo). 2021 Jun;74(6):421-423. doi: 10.1038/s41429-021-00414-5. Epub 2021 Mar 4.
We calculate the average sales of new antibiotics during their first 8 years on the market. The discounted net present value is only $240 m in total per antibiotic, well below costs of supplying these products. The reliance on the US for sales is striking: the US market accounts for 84% of sales during the first 8 years. These facts clarify the need for additional revenues, especially from other countries, to support incentives for the development of new antibiotics. Market entry rewards may be of particular value.
我们计算了新抗生素在上市后的头 8 年的平均销售额。每种抗生素的折现值净收入总计仅为 2.4 亿美元,远低于供应这些产品的成本。对美国市场的依赖非常明显:新抗生素在上市后的头 8 年里,有 84%的销售额来自美国市场。这些事实清楚地表明,需要从其他国家获得额外收入,特别是需要从其他国家获得收入,以支持开发新抗生素的激励措施。市场准入奖励可能具有特别重要的价值。