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一种用于预测食管癌患者生存的免疫评分列线图。

An immunoscore nomogram for predicting survival in patients with oesophageal cancer.

机构信息

Department of Health Statistics, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.

Department of Journal Editorial, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.

出版信息

Aging (Albany NY). 2021 Mar 10;13(6):8762-8776. doi: 10.18632/aging.202686.

Abstract

This study aimed to construct and validate an immunoscore nomogram that may be used to predict the prognosis of oesophageal cancer. With the gene expression data of oesophageal cancer in a public database, we used CIBERSORT to estimate the fractions of 22 infiltrating immune cell types. We then built an immunoscore signature based on 12 types of infiltrating immune cells using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model. This immunoscore was used as an independent predictor in the prognostic model (training cohort: [hazard ratio (HR), 4.78; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.64-8.67; P < 0.001], validation cohort: [HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.04-4.45; P = 0.040]). Subgroup analysis by clinical features showed that overall survival was significantly different between the high-immunoscore group and the low-immunoscore group. The predictors that constituted the individualized prediction nomogram were immunoscore, age, and tumour stage. The nomogram had good discrimination and calibration. Decision curve analysis showed that the immunoscore nomogram was clinically useful. Therefore, the novel immunoscore signature based on infiltrating immune cells can be used as a reliable predictor of the prognosis of oesophageal cancer, and the immunoscore nomogram is a convenient tool for predicting the survival of individual patients.

摘要

本研究旨在构建和验证一种免疫评分列线图,用于预测食管癌的预后。我们使用公共数据库中的食管癌基因表达数据,通过 CIBERSORT 方法估计 22 种浸润免疫细胞类型的分数。然后,我们使用最小绝对值收缩和选择算子(LASSO)模型,基于 12 种浸润免疫细胞构建免疫评分特征。该免疫评分作为预后模型中的独立预测因子(训练队列:[风险比(HR),4.78;95%置信区间(CI),2.64-8.67;P < 0.001],验证队列:[HR,2.15;95% CI,1.04-4.45;P = 0.040])。按临床特征进行的亚组分析显示,高免疫评分组与低免疫评分组的总生存率有显著差异。构成个体化预测列线图的预测因子为免疫评分、年龄和肿瘤分期。该列线图具有良好的判别能力和校准能力。决策曲线分析表明,免疫评分列线图具有临床应用价值。因此,基于浸润免疫细胞的新型免疫评分特征可作为食管癌预后的可靠预测指标,免疫评分列线图是预测个体患者生存的便捷工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a6e0/8034926/7a04c5585132/aging-13-202686-g001.jpg

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