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中国农业碳排放的区域差异分解及其时空动态演进:考虑碳汇效应。

Regional difference decomposition and its spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of Chinese agricultural carbon emission: considering carbon sink effect.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, 712100, Shaanxi, China.

Institute of Soil and Water Conservation, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, 712100, Shaanxi, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Aug;28(29):38909-38928. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13442-3. Epub 2021 Mar 20.

Abstract

The current study aims to analyze the regional differences and spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of carbon emission intensity (CEI) and carbon emission per capita (CEPC) of planting industry with consideration of carbon sink effect. The results indicate that: (i) The CEI and CEPC of China's planting industry present significant non-equilibrium distribution characteristic during the investigate period, provinces with high CEI are mainly distributed in major agricultural provinces, while high CEPC provinces are mainly located in northeast and individual central provinces with large planting industry. (ii) Inter-regional difference is the principal course of the total differences, the CEI Theil index demonstrates gradient decreasing pattern of "western > central > eastern > northeast," the contribution rate of CEI Theil index shows "northeast > eastern > central > western," the CEPC Theil index shows the spatial pattern of "northeast > central > western > eastern," and the contribution rate of CEPC Theil index presents the spatial pattern of "eastern > central > western > northeast." (iii) The dynamic evolution of CEI and CEPC curve presents polarization or multipolar differential phenomenon accompanies with distinct gradient characteristics, the regional difference of agglomeration level in CEI is gradually narrowing, while the CEPC gradually expanding and the dispersion level is increasing, which implies the "intra-regional convergence and inter-regional divergence." Consequently, differential carbon reduction policies have been put forward according to the study findings.

摘要

本研究旨在分析考虑碳汇效应后,种植业的碳排放强度(CEI)和人均碳排放量(CEPC)的区域差异和时空动态演变。结果表明:(i)研究期内,中国种植业的 CEI 和 CEPC 呈现出显著的非均衡分布特征,高 CEI 地区主要分布在农业大省,而高 CEPC 地区主要位于东北和个别中部省份,这些省份的种植业规模较大。(ii)区域间差异是总差异的主要原因,CEI 的 Theil 指数呈现出“西部>中部>东部>东北”的梯度递减格局,CEI 的 Theil 指数的贡献率呈现出“东北>东部>中部>西部”的格局,CEPC 的 Theil 指数呈现出“东北>中部>西部>东部”的空间格局,CEPC 的 Theil 指数的贡献率呈现出“东部>中部>西部>东北”的空间格局。(iii)CEI 和 CEPC 曲线的动态演变呈现出极化或多极差异化现象,并伴有明显的梯度特征,CEI 的集聚水平区域差异逐渐缩小,而 CEPC 逐渐扩大且分散水平不断提高,这意味着“区内趋同和区际发散”。因此,根据研究结果提出了差异化的减排政策。

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