Gray A J, Reinken J A, Laugesen M
Cancer Society of New Zealand, Wellington.
N Z Med J. 1988 May 25;101(846):270-3.
Attributable risks of mortality and morbidity occasioned by current or past cigarette smoking are applied to recent mortality and hospital morbidity data. The 1981 census data on smoking, the hospital discharge data from 1984 and mortality since 1980 are analysed showing that 1 in 5 deaths of men aged 15 to 60 can be attributed to smoking, as can 1 in 9 deaths of women 15 to 60. In all 4137 deaths per year are attributable to smoking. Each year 4815 years of working life (15 to 60) are lost due to cigarette smoking induced premature mortality. Excess hospital use caused by cigarette smoking is estimated to cost more than $81 million (in 1986 dollars).
将当前或过去吸烟导致的死亡和发病归因风险应用于近期的死亡率和医院发病率数据。分析了1981年的吸烟普查数据、1984年的医院出院数据以及1980年以来的死亡率，结果表明，15至60岁男性死亡中有五分之一可归因于吸烟，15至60岁女性死亡中有九分之一也可归因于吸烟。每年总计有4137例死亡可归因于吸烟。由于吸烟导致过早死亡，每年损失4815个工作寿命年（15至60岁）。吸烟导致的医院过度使用估计成本超过8100万美元（按1986年美元计算）。
