Pavelka Martin, Van-Zandvoort Kevin, Abbott Sam, Sherratt Katharine, Majdan Marek, Jarčuška Pavol, Krajčí Marek, Flasche Stefan, Funk Sebastian
Slovak Ministry of Health, Bratislava, Slovakia.
Inštitút Zdravotných Analýz (Institute of Health Analyses), Bratislava, Slovakia.
Science. 2021 May 7;372(6542):635-641. doi: 10.1126/science.abf9648. Epub 2021 Mar 23.
Slovakia conducted multiple rounds of population-wide rapid antigen testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in late 2020, combined with a period of additional contact restrictions. Observed prevalence decreased by 58% (95% confidence interval: 57 to 58%) within 1 week in the 45 counties that were subject to two rounds of mass testing, an estimate that remained robust when adjusting for multiple potential confounders. Adjusting for epidemic growth of 4.4% (1.1 to 6.9%) per day preceding the mass testing campaign, the estimated decrease in prevalence compared with a scenario of unmitigated growth was 70% (67 to 73%). Modeling indicated that this decrease could not be explained solely by infection control measures but required the addition of the isolation and quarantine of household members of those testing positive.
2020年末,斯洛伐克针对严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)开展了多轮全人群快速抗原检测,并辅以一段时间的额外接触限制措施。在接受两轮大规模检测的45个县中,观察到的感染率在1周内下降了58%(95%置信区间:57%至58%),在对多个潜在混杂因素进行调整后,这一估计仍然可靠。在大规模检测活动之前,每天的疫情增长率为4.4%(1.1%至6.9%),经调整后,与未采取缓解措施情况下的感染率相比,估计下降了70%(67%至73%)。模型显示,这种下降不能仅由感染控制措施来解释,还需要对检测呈阳性者的家庭成员进行隔离和检疫。