Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Joan and Sanford I. Weill Department of Medicine.
NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York; and.
Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2021 Nov;18(11):1849-1860. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.202004-399OC.
The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) tool is a commonly used measure of illness severity. Calculation of the respiratory subscore of SOFA is frequently limited by missing arterial oxygen pressure (Pa) data. Although missing Pa data are commonly replaced with normal values, the performance of different methods of substituting Pa for SOFA calculation is unclear. The study objective was to compare the performance of different substitution strategies for missing Pa data for SOFA score calculation. This retrospective cohort study was performed using the Weill Cornell Critical Care Database for Advanced Research from a tertiary care hospital in the United States. All adult patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) from 2011 to 2019 with an available respiratory SOFA score were included. We analyzed the availability of the Pa/fraction of inspired oxygen (Fi) ratio on the first day of ICU admission. In those without a Pa/Fi ratio available, the ratio of oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry to Fi was used to calculate a respiratory SOFA subscore according to four methods (linear substitution [Rice], nonlinear substitution [Severinghaus], modified respiratory SOFA, and multiple imputation by chained equations [MICE]) as well as the missing-as-normal technique. We then compared how well the different total SOFA scores discriminated in-hospital mortality. We performed several subgroup and sensitivity analyses. We identified 35,260 unique visits, of which 9,172 included predominant respiratory failure. Pa data were available for 14,939 (47%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for each substitution technique for discriminating in-hospital mortality was higher than that for the missing-as-normal technique (0.78 [0.77-0.79]) in all analyses (modified, 0.80 [0.79-0.81]; Rice, 0.80 [0.79-0.81]; Severinghaus, 0.80 [0.79-0.81]; and MICE, 0.80 [0.79-0.81]) ( < 0.01). Each substitution method had a higher accuracy for discriminating in-hospital mortality (MICE, 0.67; Rice, 0.67; modified, 0.66; and Severinghaus, 0.66) than the missing-as-normal technique. Model calibration for in-hospital mortality was less precise for the missing-as-normal technique than for the other substitution techniques at the lower range of SOFA and among the subgroups. Using physiologic and statistical substitution methods improved the total SOFA score's ability to discriminate mortality compared with the missing-as-normal technique. Treating missing data as normal may result in underreporting the severity of illness compared with using substitution. The simplicity of a direct oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry/Fi ratio-modified SOFA technique makes it an attractive choice for electronic health record-based research. This knowledge can inform comparisons of severity of illness across studies that used different techniques.
序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)工具是一种常用的疾病严重程度衡量标准。SOFA 的呼吸亚评分的计算常常受到动脉血氧分压(Pa)数据缺失的限制。尽管缺失的 Pa 数据通常会被替换为正常值,但不同替代 Pa 用于 SOFA 计算的方法的性能尚不清楚。本研究的目的是比较不同替代 Pa 数据缺失的策略对 SOFA 评分计算的性能。这项回顾性队列研究使用了来自美国一家三级护理医院的威尔康奈尔危重病高级研究的威康奈尔危重病数据库。所有在 2011 年至 2019 年期间入住 ICU 且有可用呼吸 SOFA 评分的成年患者均被纳入研究。我们分析了 ICU 入院第一天 Pa/吸入氧分数(Fi)比值的可用性。在没有 Pa/Fi 比值的情况下,根据四种方法(线性替代[Rice]、非线性替代[Severinghaus]、改良呼吸 SOFA 和通过连锁方程进行的多次插补[MICE])以及缺失值作为正常值的技术,使用脉搏血氧饱和度与 Fi 的比值来计算呼吸 SOFA 亚评分。然后,我们比较了不同的总 SOFA 评分对住院死亡率的区分能力。我们进行了几项亚组和敏感性分析。我们确定了 35260 个独特的就诊,其中 9172 个就诊包括主要的呼吸衰竭。14939 个(47%)就诊有 Pa 数据。在所有分析中,每种替代技术的曲线下面积(AUC)均高于缺失值作为正常值的技术(0.78[0.77-0.79])(改良,0.80[0.79-0.81];Rice,0.80[0.79-0.81];Severinghaus,0.80[0.79-0.81];MICE,0.80[0.79-0.81])(<0.01)。每种替代方法在区分住院死亡率方面的准确性均高于缺失值作为正常值的技术(MICE,0.67;Rice,0.67;改良,0.66;Severinghaus,0.66)。在 SOFA 值较低的范围和亚组中,缺失值作为正常值的技术在预测住院死亡率方面的校准精度低于其他替代技术。与替代技术相比,缺失值作为正常值的技术对死亡率的预测精度较低。与替代方法相比,将缺失数据视为正常值可能会导致疾病严重程度的低估。使用脉搏血氧饱和度和 Fi 比值的直接测量值/改良 SOFA 技术进行生理和统计替代方法可以提高总 SOFA 评分区分死亡率的能力。这些知识可以为使用不同技术的研究之间的疾病严重程度比较提供信息。