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秋水仙碱治疗 COVID-19 患者降低死亡率:一项回顾性观察研究的结果。

Reduced mortality in COVID-19 patients treated with colchicine: Results from a retrospective, observational study.

机构信息

Dipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Università di Parma e UO Nefrologia, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Parma, Parma, Italy.

Dipartimento Geriatrico-Riabilitativo, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Parma, Parma, Italy.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 24;16(3):e0248276. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248276. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Effective treatments for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are urgently needed. We hypothesized that colchicine, by counteracting proinflammatory pathways implicated in the uncontrolled inflammatory response of COVID-19 patients, reduces pulmonary complications, and improves survival.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 71 consecutive COVID-19 patients (hospitalized with pneumonia on CT scan or outpatients) who received colchicine and compared with 70 control patients who did not receive colchicine in two serial time periods at the same institution. We used inverse probability of treatment propensity-score weighting to examine differences in mortality, clinical improvement (using a 7-point ordinary scale), and inflammatory markers between the two groups.

RESULTS

Amongst the 141 COVID-19 patients (118 [83.7%] hospitalized), 70 (50%) received colchicine. The 21-day crude cumulative mortality was 7.5% in the colchicine group and 28.5% in the control group (P = 0.006; adjusted hazard ratio: 0.24 [95%CI: 0.09 to 0.67]); 21-day clinical improvement occurred in 40.0% of the patients on colchicine and in 26.6% of control patients (adjusted relative improvement rate: 1.80 [95%CI: 1.00 to 3.22]). The strong association between the use of colchicine and reduced mortality was further supported by the diverging linear trends of percent daily change in lymphocyte count (P = 0.018), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (P = 0.003), and in C-reactive protein levels (P = 0.009). Colchicine was stopped because of transient side effects (diarrhea or skin rashes) in 7% of patients.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective cohort study colchicine was associated with reduced mortality and accelerated recovery in COVID-19 patients. This support the rationale for current larger randomized controlled trials testing the safety/efficacy profile of colchicine in COVID-19 patients.

摘要

目的

急需有效的治疗方法来治疗 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)。我们推测,秋水仙碱通过对抗 COVID-19 患者失控炎症反应中涉及的促炎途径,可减少肺部并发症并提高生存率。

方法

本回顾性研究纳入了 71 例连续 COVID-19 患者(CT 扫描显示肺炎住院或门诊患者),这些患者接受了秋水仙碱治疗,并与同期同一机构的 70 例未接受秋水仙碱治疗的对照组患者进行比较。我们使用逆概率治疗倾向评分加权法来检查两组之间死亡率、临床改善(使用 7 分常规模型)和炎症标志物的差异。

结果

在 141 例 COVID-19 患者(118 例[83.7%]住院)中,70 例(50%)接受了秋水仙碱治疗。秋水仙碱组 21 天的粗累积死亡率为 7.5%,对照组为 28.5%(P=0.006;调整后的危险比:0.24[95%CI:0.09 至 0.67]);21 天的临床改善在接受秋水仙碱治疗的患者中发生了 40.0%,在对照组中为 26.6%(调整后的相对改善率:1.80[95%CI:1.00 至 3.22])。秋水仙碱的使用与死亡率降低之间的强关联进一步得到了淋巴细胞计数、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值和 C 反应蛋白水平的逐日变化百分比的发散线性趋势的支持(P=0.018、P=0.003 和 P=0.009)。由于腹泻或皮疹等短暂的副作用,7%的患者停止使用秋水仙碱。

结论

在本回顾性队列研究中,秋水仙碱与 COVID-19 患者的死亡率降低和康复加速有关。这支持了目前更大规模的随机对照试验测试秋水仙碱在 COVID-19 患者中的安全性/疗效的合理性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a602/7990208/910d94e0e0cb/pone.0248276.g001.jpg

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