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2019冠状病毒病:103例中国患者回顾性多中心研究中胸部CT的初步检测

Coronavirus Disease 2019: Initial Detection on Chest CT in a Retrospective Multicenter Study of 103 Chinese Patients.

作者信息

Wen Zeying, Chi Yonge, Zhang Liang, Liu Huan, Du Kun, Li Zhengxing, Chen Jie, Cheng Liuhui, Wang Daoqing

机构信息

Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of CM, 19 Renmin Road, Zhengzhou 450000, Henan Province, China (Z.W., J.C., L.C., D.W.); Department of Radiology, The Fifth Hospital of Anyang, Anyang, China (Y.C.); Department of Radiology, Zhumadian Central Hospital, Zhumadian, China (L.Z.); GE Healthcare, Shanghai, China (H.L.); Department of Radiology, XinYang Central Hospital, Xinyang, China (K.D.); and Department of Radiology, Xinxian People's Hospital, Xinxin, China (Z.L.).

出版信息

Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging. 2020 Apr 6;2(2):e200092. doi: 10.1148/ryct.2020200092. eCollection 2020 Apr.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To evaluate the performance of chest CT regarding the initial presentation of patients suspected of having coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from 103 patients who were under investigation for COVID-19 based on inclusion criteria according to the World Health Organization Interim Guidance were retrospectively collected from January 21, 2020, to February 14, 2020. All patients underwent chest CT scanning and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing for COVID-19 at hospital presentation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) (with 95% confidence intervals) were calculated to evaluate the performance of CT. Subgroup analyses were also performed based on the geographical distribution of these cases in the province of Henan, China.

RESULTS

There were 88/103 (85%) patients with COVID-19 confirmed by RT-PCR testing. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 93% (85%, 97%), 53% (27%, 77%), 92% (83%, 96%), and 42% (18%, 70%), respectively. Similar results were shown in both geographic regions. The respective sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for chest CT in the districts of Xinyang and Zhumadian ( = 56) were 92% (80%, 97%), 63% (26%, 90%), 93% (81%, 98%), and 56% (23%, 85%), while these indicators in the district of Anyang ( = 47) were 95% (81%, 99%), 43% (12%, 80%), 90% (76%, 97%), and 60% (17%-93%). There were no significant differences in the prevalence of positive examinations in the two geographic subgroups for CT ( = .423) or RT-PCR ( = .931).

CONCLUSION

Although initial chest CT obtained at hospital presentation showed high sensitivity in patients under investigation for COVID-19 in the two geographic regions in Henan Province, the NPV was only modest, suggesting a low value of CT as a screening tool.© RSNA, 2020.

摘要

目的

评估胸部CT对于疑似2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者初始表现的诊断效能。

材料与方法

回顾性收集2020年1月21日至2020年2月14日期间,依据世界卫生组织临时指南纳入标准,接受COVID-19调查的103例患者的数据。所有患者在就诊时均接受了胸部CT扫描以及COVID-19的逆转录聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)检测。计算敏感度、特异度、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)(及其95%置信区间),以评估CT的诊断效能。还根据这些病例在中国河南省的地理分布进行了亚组分析。

结果

103例患者中有88例(85%)经RT-PCR检测确诊为COVID-19。总体敏感度、特异度、PPV和NPV分别为93%(85%,97%)、53%(27%,77%)、92%(83%,96%)和42%(18%,70%)。两个地理区域的结果相似。信阳市和驻马店市(n = 56)胸部CT的敏感度、特异度、PPV和NPV分别为92%(80%,97%)、63%(26%,90%)、93%(81%,98%)和56%(23%,85%),而安阳市(n = 47)的这些指标分别为95%(81%,99%)、43%(12%,80%)、90%(76%,97%)和60%(17% - 93%)。两个地理亚组CT(P = 0.423)或RT-PCR(P = 0.931)检查阳性率无显著差异。

结论

尽管在河南省两个地理区域,就诊时进行的初始胸部CT对接受COVID-19调查的患者显示出较高的敏感度,但NPV仅为中等水平,提示CT作为筛查工具的价值较低。© RSNA,2020。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/784f/7977868/2fb4c0383ad0/ryct.2020200092.fig1.jpg

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