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中国 GDP、能源消耗、电力生产、增值产业和人口的二氧化碳排放量之间的贝塔脱耦关系。

Beta decoupling relationship between CO2 emissions by GDP, energy consumption, electricity production, value-added industries, and population in China.

机构信息

School of Internet Economics and Business, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou City, Fujian Province, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 1;16(4):e0249444. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0249444. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0249444
PMID:33793639
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8016343/
Abstract

The credible sources of fossil energy efficiently are a vital cause of economic growth and considerable influence on adequate security. Whereas radiant energy positively enhances or ostensibly promotes socio-economic stability and the controlled environment. The fossil energy sources supply has become progressively stern in China and reconnoitering the beta decoupling relationships between CO2 emissions, GDP, energy consumption, electricity consumption, value-added industries, and population. The results will be favorable for illustrative the security of the valuable resources. This study adopts the extended stochastic model (STIRPAT) with Beta Decoupling Techniques (BDT). This modern technique merely employs the decoupling situation by the alpha and beta effects from 1989 to 2018 and calculates the % change in CO2 emissions by GDP growth and energy consumption. The estimated results represent negative and economic growth depends on coal and natural gas. First, CO2 emissions annually increasing cause of rapid growth, energy consumption, and electricity production, and the structural contradiction of energy remained static. Second, the Value-added industries estimated that CO2 emissions reduce by primary industries. Third, the decoupling states of CO2 emissions and population show an inverse relationship. This paper tentatively suggests China is sustainable, naturally strengthens energy output, transmutes the energy consumption structure, and advances development policies under environmental circumstances.

摘要

化石能源的可靠来源是经济增长的重要原因,对充分的安全也有相当大的影响。而辐射能则积极地增强或表面上促进社会经济稳定和可控环境。中国的化石能源供应已经变得日益严峻,因此需要研究二氧化碳排放、GDP、能源消耗、电力消耗、附加值产业和人口之间的β脱钩关系。研究结果有利于说明宝贵资源的安全性。本研究采用扩展的随机模型(STIRPAT)和β脱钩技术(BDT)。这种现代技术仅通过α和β效应从 1989 年到 2018 年的脱钩情况来计算 GDP 增长和能源消耗对 CO2 排放的%变化。估计结果表明,CO2 排放的增加是由于经济增长、能源消耗和电力生产的快速增长以及能源结构的静态矛盾造成的。其次,附加值产业估计 CO2 排放会减少初级产业。第三,CO2 排放和人口的脱钩状态呈反比关系。本文初步表明,中国是可持续的,自然地加强能源产出,转变能源消耗结构,并在环境条件下推进发展政策。

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