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α和β解耦下的追赶式增长及其与GDP、人口、能源生产和消费所产生的碳排放之间的关系。

Catch-up growth with alpha and beta decoupling and their relationships between CO emissions by GDP, population, energy production, and consumption.

作者信息

Khan Rabnawaz

机构信息

School of Internet Economics and Business, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 May 17;10(11):e31470. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e31470. eCollection 2024 Jun 15.

Abstract

This study explores the relationship between CO emissions by GDP, population, energy production, and consumption in the United States, China, Romania, and Thailand economies from 1990 to 2019. It evaluates the phenomenon of catch-up growth, which transpires when an lagging economy goes through an expansionary phase after a period of below-average performance. We used the stochastic model to illustrate in terms of alpha and beta decoupling techniques. The outcomes validated by positive and negative decoupling attitudes play a crucial role in predicting a rise in CO emissions owing to oil, gas, and coal use in comparison to Romania. Thailand and Romania have a more viable road to sustainability than the United States and China. The United States and China appear to have an antagonistic relationship, as suggested by decoupling attitudes. Thailand and Romania are considered to be highly environmentally sustainable countries on account of their minimal carbon emissions, efficient energy usage, and forward-thinking environmental policies. Accordingly, policy recommendations are offered based on CO emissions and effective mitigation policies, since this allows for determining which countries with high emissions need technological advances, best practices, and intersectoral policies.

摘要

本研究探讨了1990年至2019年美国、中国、罗马尼亚和泰国经济中二氧化碳排放量与国内生产总值、人口、能源生产和消费之间的关系。它评估了追赶式增长现象,即一个落后经济体在经历一段低于平均水平的表现后进入扩张阶段时所发生的情况。我们使用随机模型,从阿尔法和贝塔脱钩技术的角度进行说明。通过正负脱钩态度验证的结果在预测因石油、天然气和煤炭使用导致的二氧化碳排放量上升方面发挥着关键作用,与罗马尼亚相比。泰国和罗马尼亚比美国和中国有更可行的可持续发展道路。脱钩态度表明,美国和中国似乎存在对抗关系。泰国和罗马尼亚因其最低的碳排放、高效的能源使用和前瞻性的环境政策而被视为高度环境可持续的国家。因此,基于二氧化碳排放和有效的减排政策提出了政策建议,因为这有助于确定哪些高排放国家需要技术进步、最佳实践和跨部门政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/65a8/11153113/f6a8c9499991/gr1.jpg

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