School of Computer, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410000, China.
School of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410000, China.
Sensors (Basel). 2021 Mar 11;21(6):1981. doi: 10.3390/s21061981.
Precipitation has an important impact on people's daily life and disaster prevention and mitigation. However, it is difficult to provide more accurate results for rainfall nowcasting due to spin-up problems in numerical weather prediction models. Furthermore, existing rainfall nowcasting methods based on machine learning and deep learning cannot provide large-area rainfall nowcasting with high spatiotemporal resolution. This paper proposes a dual-input dual-encoder recurrent neural network, namely Rainfall Nowcasting Network (RN-Net), to solve this problem. It takes the past grid rainfall data interpolated by automatic weather stations and doppler radar mosaic data as input data, and then forecasts the grid rainfall data for the next 2 h. We conduct experiments on the Southeastern China dataset. With a threshold of 0.25 mm, the RN-Net's rainfall nowcasting threat scores have reached 0.523, 0.503, and 0.435 within 0.5 h, 1 h, and 2 h. Compared with the Weather Research and Forecasting model rainfall nowcasting, the threat scores have been increased by nearly four times, three times, and three times, respectively.
降水对人们的日常生活和防灾减灾有重要影响。然而,由于数值天气预报模型的初始问题,目前对降雨临近预报很难提供更准确的结果。此外,现有的基于机器学习和深度学习的降雨临近预报方法无法提供具有高时空分辨率的大面积降雨临近预报。本文提出了一种双输入双编码器递归神经网络,即降雨临近预报网络(RN-Net),以解决这个问题。它以自动气象站插值的过去网格降水数据和多普勒雷达镶嵌数据作为输入数据,然后预测未来 2 小时的网格降水数据。我们在中国东南部数据集上进行了实验。在阈值为 0.25mm 的情况下,RN-Net 在 0.5 小时、1 小时和 2 小时内的降雨临近预报威胁评分分别达到 0.523、0.503 和 0.435。与天气研究与预报模型的降雨临近预报相比,威胁评分分别提高了近四倍、三倍和三倍。