Ghosal Rahul, Saha Enakshi
Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University, United States.
Department of Statistics, University of Chicago, United States.
Atmos Environ (1994). 2021 Jun 1;254:118388. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118388. Epub 2021 Apr 7.
In 2020, most countries around the world have observed varying degrees of public lockdown measures to mitigate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. As an unintended consequence of reduced transportation and industrial activities, air quality has dramatically improved in many major cities around the world. In this paper, we analyze the environmental impact of the lockdown measures on concentration levels in 48 core-based statistical areas (CBSA) of the United States, during the pre and post-lockdown period of January to June 2020. We model the effect of lockdown on the concentration in different CBSAs while adjusting for various meteorological factors like temperature, wind-speed, precipitation and snow. Linear mixed effects models and functional regression methods with random intercepts are employed to capture the heterogeneity of the effect across different regions. Our analysis shows there is a statistically significant reduction in levels of across most of the regions during the lock-down period, although interestingly, this effect is not uniform across all the CBSAs under consideration.
2020年,世界上大多数国家都采取了不同程度的公共封锁措施,以减轻严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的传播。作为交通和工业活动减少的一个意外结果,世界上许多主要城市的空气质量都有了显著改善。在本文中,我们分析了2020年1月至6月封锁措施前后,对美国48个基于核心的统计区(CBSA)中[污染物名称]浓度水平的环境影响。我们在考虑温度、风速、降水和降雪等各种气象因素的情况下,模拟了封锁对不同CBSA中[污染物名称]浓度的影响。采用线性混合效应模型和具有随机截距的函数回归方法来捕捉不同区域间效应的异质性。我们的分析表明,在封锁期间,大多数地区的[污染物名称]水平在统计上有显著下降,不过有趣的是,在所考虑的所有CBSA中,这种影响并不一致。