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高 Child-Pugh 和 CRUB65 评分可预测 COVID-19 失代偿性肝硬化患者的死亡率:一项 23 中心回顾性研究。

High Child-Pugh and CRUB65 scores predict mortality of decompensated cirrhosis patients with COVID-19: A 23-center, retrospective study.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

Department of Gastroenterology, The Third XiangYa Hospital Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.

出版信息

Virulence. 2021 Dec;12(1):1199-1208. doi: 10.1080/21505594.2021.1909894.

Abstract

: COVID-19 has rapidly become a major health emergency worldwide. The characteristic, outcome, and risk factor of COVID-19 in patients with decompensated cirrhosis remain unclear.: Medical records were collected from 23 Chinese hospitals. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis and age- and sex-matched non-liver disease patients were enrolled with 1:4 ratio using stratified sampling.: There were more comorbidities with higher Chalson Complication Index (p < 0.001), higher proportion of patients having gastrointestinal bleeding, jaundice, ascites, and diarrhea among those patients (p < 0.05) and in decompensated cirrhosis patients. Mortality (p < 0.05) and the proportion of severe ill (p < 0.001) were significantly high among those patients. Patients in severe ill subgroup had higher mortality (p < 0.001), MELD, and CRUB65 score but lower lymphocytes count. Besides, this subgroup had larger proportion of patients with abnormal (PT), activated partial thromboplatin time (APTT), D-Dimer, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBL) and Creatinine (Cr) (p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression for severity shown that MELD and CRUB65 score reached significance. Higher Child-Pugh and CRUB65 scores were found among non-survival cases and multivariate logistic regression further inferred risk factors for adverse outcome. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves also provided remarkable demonstrations for the predictive ability of Child-Pugh and CRUB65 scores.: COVID-19 patients with cirrhosis had larger proportion of more severely disease and higher mortality. MELD and CRUB65 score at hospital admission may predict COVID-19 severity while Child-Pugh and CRUB65 score were highly associated with non-survival among those patients.

摘要

: COVID-19 已迅速成为全球范围内的重大卫生紧急事件。失代偿期肝硬化患者 COVID-19 的特征、结局和危险因素仍不清楚。: 从 23 家中国医院收集病历。采用分层抽样,按 1:4 的比例纳入失代偿期肝硬化患者和年龄、性别匹配的非肝脏疾病患者。: 与非肝脏疾病患者相比,失代偿期肝硬化患者合并症更多,Chalson 并发症指数更高(p < 0.001),胃肠道出血、黄疸、腹水和腹泻的患者比例更高(p < 0.05)。失代偿期肝硬化患者的死亡率(p < 0.05)和重症患者比例(p < 0.001)显著较高。重症患者亚组死亡率更高(p < 0.001)、MELD 和 CRUB65 评分更高,但淋巴细胞计数更低。此外,该亚组患者中 PT、活化部分凝血活酶时间(APTT)、D-二聚体、丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)、天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST)、总胆红素(TBL)和肌酐(Cr)异常的患者比例更高(p < 0.05)。严重程度的多变量逻辑回归显示 MELD 和 CRUB65 评分有统计学意义。非存活病例的 Child-Pugh 和 CRUB65 评分更高,多变量逻辑回归进一步推断出不良结局的危险因素。受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线也为 Child-Pugh 和 CRUB65 评分的预测能力提供了显著证据。: COVID-19 合并肝硬化患者疾病更严重、死亡率更高。入院时的 MELD 和 CRUB65 评分可能预测 COVID-19 的严重程度,而 Child-Pugh 和 CRUB65 评分与这些患者的非存活高度相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d017/8078510/fc668edec2f1/KVIR_A_1909894_F0001_OC.jpg

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