Department of Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Provincial Hospital of Tranditional Chinese Medicine, Wuhan, China.
Hubei Provincial Academy of Tranditional Chinese Medicine, Wuhan, China.
BMC Infect Dis. 2021 Apr 20;21(1):371. doi: 10.1186/s12879-021-06057-z.
The current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a public health emergency. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk factors for mortality in severe and critical COVID-19 patients.
We performed a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with severe and critical COVID-19 from four hospitals in Wuhan, China, by evaluating the clinical characteristics and laboratory results, and using Cox proportional hazards model to assess the risk factors involved in disease progression.
In total, 446 patients with COVID-19 were enrolled. The study indicated a high mortality rate (20.2%) in severe and critical COVID-19 patients. At the time of admission, all patients required oxygen therapy, and 52 (12%) required invasive mechanical ventilation, of which 50 (96%) died. The univariate Cox proportional hazards model showed a white blood cell count of more than 10 × 10/L (HR 3.993,95%CI 2.469 to 6.459) that correlated with an increased mortality rate. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that older age (HR 1.066, 95% CI 1.043 to 1.089) and higher white blood cell count (HR 1.135, 95% CI 1.080 to 1.192) were independent risk factors for determining COVID-19 associated mortality.
COVID-19 is associated with a significant risk of morbidity and mortality in the population. Older age and higher white blood cell count were found to be independent risk factors for mortality.
当前的 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是一场公共卫生紧急事件。在这项研究中,我们旨在评估重症和危重症 COVID-19 患者死亡的危险因素。
我们通过评估临床特征和实验室结果,对来自中国武汉的四家医院的重症和危重症 COVID-19 患者进行了回顾性研究,并使用 Cox 比例风险模型评估了疾病进展涉及的危险因素。
共有 446 名 COVID-19 患者入组。研究表明,重症和危重症 COVID-19 患者的死亡率很高(20.2%)。入院时,所有患者均需要吸氧治疗,52 名(12%)需要有创机械通气,其中 50 名(96%)死亡。单因素 Cox 比例风险模型显示,白细胞计数超过 10×10/L(HR 3.993,95%CI 2.469 至 6.459)与死亡率升高相关。多因素 Cox 比例风险模型表明,年龄较大(HR 1.066,95%CI 1.043 至 1.089)和较高的白细胞计数(HR 1.135,95%CI 1.080 至 1.192)是确定 COVID-19 相关死亡率的独立危险因素。
COVID-19 在人群中与较高的发病率和死亡率相关。年龄较大和较高的白细胞计数是死亡的独立危险因素。