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Prognostication after intracerebral hemorrhage: a review.

作者信息

Witsch Jens, Siegerink Bob, Nolte Christian H, Sprügel Maximilian, Steiner Thorsten, Endres Matthias, Huttner Hagen B

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Weill Cornell Medicine, 525 East 68th Street, New York, NY, 10065, USA.

Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

Neurol Res Pract. 2021 May 3;3(1):22. doi: 10.1186/s42466-021-00120-5.


DOI:10.1186/s42466-021-00120-5
PMID:33934715
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8091769/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Approximately half of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) die within 1 year. Prognostication in this context is of great importance, to guide goals of care discussions, clinical decision-making, and risk stratification. However, available prognostic scores are hardly used in clinical practice. The purpose of this review article is to identify existing outcome prediction scores for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) discuss their shortcomings, and to suggest how to create and validate more useful scores. MAIN TEXT: Through a literature review this article identifies existing ICH outcome prediction models. Using the Essen-ICH-score as an example, we demonstrate a complete score validation including discrimination, calibration and net benefit calculations. Score performance is illustrated in the Erlangen UKER-ICH-cohort (NCT03183167). We identified 19 prediction scores, half of which used mortality as endpoint, the remainder used disability, typically the dichotomized modified Rankin score assessed at variable time points after the index ICH. Complete score validation by our criteria was only available for the max-ICH score. Our validation of the Essen-ICH-score regarding prediction of unfavorable outcome showed good discrimination (area under the curve 0.87), fair calibration (calibration intercept 1.0, slope 0.84), and an overall net benefit of using the score as a decision tool. We discuss methodological pitfalls of prediction scores, e.g. the withdrawal of care (WOC) bias, physiological predictor variables that are often neglected by authors of clinical scores, and incomplete score validation. Future scores need to integrate new predictor variables, patient-reported outcome measures, and reduce the WOC bias. Validation needs to be standardized and thorough. Lastly, we discuss the integration of current ICH scoring systems in clinical practice with the awareness of their shortcomings. CONCLUSION: Presently available prognostic scores for ICH do not fulfill essential quality standards. Novel prognostic scores need to be developed to inform the design of research studies and improve clinical care in patients with ICH.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/8ce12bca81ce/42466_2021_120_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/c30fbe8b7bcd/42466_2021_120_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/e679af1ce675/42466_2021_120_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/8ce12bca81ce/42466_2021_120_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/c30fbe8b7bcd/42466_2021_120_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/e679af1ce675/42466_2021_120_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee92/8091769/8ce12bca81ce/42466_2021_120_Fig3_HTML.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Prognostication after intracerebral hemorrhage: a review.

Neurol Res Pract. 2021-5-3

[2]
Multicenter Validation of the max-ICH Score in Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

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[3]
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[4]
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[6]
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[7]
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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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[3]
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[7]
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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Rationale and design of an interventional study of cross-sectoral, coordinated treatment of stroke patients with patient-orientated outcome measurement (StroCare).

Neurol Res Pract. 2021-2-2

[2]
Intracerebral Hemorrhage with Intraventricular Extension Associated with Loss of Consciousness at Symptom Onset.

Neurocrit Care. 2021-10

[3]
Outcome evaluation by patient reported outcome measures in stroke clinical practice (EPOS) protocol for a prospective observation and implementation study.

Neurol Res Pract. 2019-11-1

[4]
Multicenter Validation of the max-ICH Score in Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Ann Neurol. 2021-3

[5]
The predictive role of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in the prognosis of adult patients with stroke.

Chin Neurosurg J. 2020-7-1

[6]
The impact of delirium on withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment after intracerebral hemorrhage.

Neurology. 2020-11-17

[7]
Chronic Kidney Disease and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis. 2020-4-25

[8]
Long-term Outcomes and Risk Factors Related to Hydrocephalus After Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Transl Stroke Res. 2021-2

[9]
Assessment of Incidence and Risk Factors of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Among Participants in the Framingham Heart Study Between 1948 and 2016.

JAMA Neurol. 2020-10-1

[10]
Intraventricular Hemorrhage Growth: Definition, Prevalence and Association with Hematoma Expansion and Prognosis.

Neurocrit Care. 2020-12

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