中国贸易开放度与预期寿命建模
Modeling Trade Openness and Life Expectancy in China.
作者信息
Shah Muhammad Imran, Ullah Irfan, Xingjian Xiao, Haipeng Huang, Rehman Alam, Zeeshan Muhammad, Alam Afridi Fakhr E
机构信息
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, People's Republic of China.
Reading Academy, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, People's Republic of China.
出版信息
Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2021 Apr 23;14:1689-1701. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S298381. eCollection 2021.
OBJECTIVE
This study investigates life expectancy and trade openness in China for the period 1960-2018.
METHODS
We purposed a theoretical model that is tested for China by applying regime-switching regression.
RESULTS
Our findings suggest that trade openness increases life expectancy in China; trade affects life expectancy from two aspects; firstly, trade expansion and industrialization lead to high economic activities and resulted in raise the income of the people in society leading to improve life expectancy. Secondly, industrial expansion increases the CO emissions which leads to imposes a negative implication on human health and thus reduces life expectancy.
CONCLUSION
Thus, the net effect of trade liberalization depends on the value of income effect and volume of CO emissions. Therefore, the government needs to support the trade policies which causes a low level of CO emissions, the government may provide incentives to exports and industrialists to adopted green energy in the production process. Besides, the government may impose some regulations such as carbon tax to mitigate the CO emissions in society.
目的
本研究调查1960 - 2018年期间中国的预期寿命和贸易开放程度。
方法
我们构建了一个理论模型，并通过应用政权更迭回归对中国进行检验。
结果
我们的研究结果表明，贸易开放程度提高了中国的预期寿命；贸易从两个方面影响预期寿命；首先，贸易扩张和工业化导致经济活动活跃，进而提高了社会中人们的收入，从而延长了预期寿命。其次，工业扩张增加了二氧化碳排放，这对人类健康产生了负面影响，从而缩短了预期寿命。
结论
因此，贸易自由化的净效应取决于收入效应的大小和二氧化碳排放量。因此，政府需要支持那些导致低水平二氧化碳排放的贸易政策，政府可以为出口商和实业家提供激励措施，促使他们在生产过程中采用绿色能源。此外，政府可以实施一些规定，如碳税，以减少社会中的二氧化碳排放。
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