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马来西亚 2020 年 3 月至 9 月期间 COVID-19 的空间聚集分析。

Spatial cluster analysis of COVID-19 in Malaysia (Mar-Sep, 2020).

机构信息

Department of Fundamental and Applied Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Petronas, Seri Iskandar, Perak.

IIC University of Technologi.

出版信息

Geospat Health. 2021 May 5;16(1). doi: 10.4081/gh.2021.961.

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the current worldwide pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization (WHO) in March 2020. Being part of the ongoing global pandemic, Malaysia has recorded a total of 8639 COVID-19 cases and 121 deaths as of 30th June 2020. This study aims to detect spatial clusters of COVID-19 in Malaysia using the Spatial Scan Statistic (SaTScan™) to guide control authorities on prioritizing locations for targeted interventions. The spatial analyses were conducted on a monthly basis at the state-level from March to September 2020. The results show that the most likely cluster of COVID-19 occurred in West Malaysia repeatedly from March to June, covering three counties (two federal territories and one neighbouring state) and moved to East Malaysia in July covering two other counties. The most likely cluster shows a tendency of having moved from the western part to the eastern part of the country. These results provide information that can be used for the evidence- based interventions to control the spread of COVID-19 in Malaysia. A Correction has been published: https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2023.1233

摘要

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是世界卫生组织(WHO)于 2020 年 3 月宣布的当前全球大流行疾病。作为持续的全球大流行的一部分,截至 2020 年 6 月 30 日,马来西亚共记录了 8639 例 COVID-19 病例和 121 例死亡。本研究旨在使用空间扫描统计(SaTScan™)检测马来西亚 COVID-19 的空间聚集,以指导控制当局优先考虑有针对性干预的地点。从 2020 年 3 月至 9 月,在州一级每月进行空间分析。结果表明,COVID-19 的最可能聚集从 3 月到 6 月反复出现在西马来西亚,覆盖三个县(两个联邦领土和一个邻国),并于 7 月转移到东马来西亚,覆盖另外两个县。最可能的集群显示出从西部向东部转移的趋势。这些结果提供了可以用于证据为基础的干预措施的信息,以控制 COVID-19 在马来西亚的传播。已发布更正:https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2023.1233

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