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我们正在失去土地:全球地面沉降影响程度评估。

We lose ground: Global assessment of land subsidence impact extent.

机构信息

University of California, Riverside, USA.

University of Zaragoza and AgriFood Institute of Aragon (IA2), Spain.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Sep 10;786:147415. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147415. Epub 2021 Apr 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147415
PMID:33984701
Abstract

Depletion of groundwater aquifers along with all of the associated quality and quantity problems which affect profitability of direct agricultural and urban users and linked groundwater-ecosystems have been recognized globally. During recent years, attention has been devoted to land subsidence-the loss of land elevation that occurs in areas with certain geological characteristics associated with aquifer exploitation. Despite the large socioeconomic impacts of land subsidence most of these effects are still not well analyzed and not properly recognized and quantified globally. In this paper we developed a land subsidence impact extent (LSIE) index that is based on 10 land subsidence attributes, and applied it to 113 sites located around the world with reported land subsidence effects. We used statistical means to map physical, human, and policy variables to the regions affected by land subsidence and quantified their impact on the index. Our main findings suggest that LSIE increases between 0.1 and 6.5% by changes in natural processes, regulatory policy interventions, and groundwater usage, while holding all other variables unchanged. Effectiveness of regulatory policy interventions varies depending on the lithology of the aquifer system, in particular its stiffness. Our findings suggest also that developing countries are more prone to land subsidence due to lower performance of their existing water governance and institutions.

摘要

地下水层的枯竭以及所有与之相关的质量和数量问题,这些问题影响了直接农业和城市用户以及相关地下水生态系统的盈利能力,在全球范围内都得到了认识。近年来,人们开始关注地面沉降——在与含水层开采相关的某些地质特征的地区发生的土地高程损失。尽管地面沉降对社会经济的影响很大,但其中大多数影响仍未得到很好的分析,在全球范围内也没有得到适当的认识和量化。在本文中,我们开发了一个基于 10 个地面沉降属性的地面沉降影响程度(LSIE)指数,并将其应用于全球 113 个有地面沉降报告的地点。我们使用统计方法将物理、人为和政策变量映射到受地面沉降影响的地区,并量化了它们对该指数的影响。我们的主要发现表明,在其他所有变量保持不变的情况下,LSIE 会因自然过程、监管政策干预和地下水使用的变化而增加 0.1%至 6.5%。监管政策干预的有效性取决于含水层系统的岩性,特别是其刚度。我们的研究结果还表明,由于现有水资源管理和机构的表现较差,发展中国家更容易发生地面沉降。

相似文献

1
We lose ground: Global assessment of land subsidence impact extent.我们正在失去土地:全球地面沉降影响程度评估。
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Sep 10;786:147415. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147415. Epub 2021 Apr 29.
2
Analysis of the influence of groundwater on land subsidence in Beijing based on the geographical weighted regression (GWR) model.基于地理加权回归(GWR)模型分析地下水对北京地面沉降的影响。
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Oct 10;738:139405. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139405. Epub 2020 May 19.
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Global land subsidence mapping reveals widespread loss of aquifer storage capacity.全球地面沉降测绘显示,含水层储水能力普遍丧失。
Nat Commun. 2023 Oct 4;14(1):6180. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41933-z.
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Deformation of the aquifer system under groundwater level fluctuations and its implication for land subsidence control in the Tianjin coastal region.地下水位波动下含水层系统的变形及其对天津沿海地区地面沉降控制的意义。
Environ Monit Assess. 2019 Feb 15;191(3):162. doi: 10.1007/s10661-019-7296-4.
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Groundwater exploitation management under land subsidence constraint: empirical evidence from the Hangzhou-Jiaxing-Huzhou Plain, China.地面沉降约束下的地下水开采管理:来自中国杭嘉湖平原的实证证据。
Environ Manage. 2013 Jun;51(6):1109-25. doi: 10.1007/s00267-013-0037-5. Epub 2013 Apr 20.
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Scrutinization of land subsidence rate using a supportive predictive model: Incorporating radar interferometry and ensemble soft-computing.使用支持性预测模型对地面沉降速率进行审查:结合雷达干涉测量法和集成软计算
J Environ Manage. 2023 Nov 1;345:118685. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118685. Epub 2023 Jul 28.
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The influence of clay zones on land subsidence from groundwater pumping.粘土区对地下水抽取引起的地面沉降的影响。
Ground Water. 2013 Jan-Feb;51(1):51-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1745-6584.2012.00943.x. Epub 2012 Apr 26.
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Urban growth and land subsidence: Multi-decadal investigation using human settlement data and satellite InSAR in Morelia, Mexico.城市增长与地面沉降:利用人类住区数据和卫星 InSAR 对墨西哥莫雷利亚进行的数十年调查
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Hydrogeological characteristics and water chemistry in a coastal aquifer of Korea: implications for land subsidence.韩国沿海含水层的水文地质特征与水化学:对地面沉降的影响
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Can river flow prevent land subsidence in urban areas?河道水流能防止城市地区地面沉降吗?
Sci Total Environ. 2024 Mar 20;917:170557. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170557. Epub 2024 Feb 1.

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