Obstetrics and Gynecology Department, State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Program in Pharmaceutical Science, University of Sorocaba, Sorocaba, Brazil.
PLoS One. 2021 May 14;16(5):e0251688. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251688. eCollection 2021.
To report a modelling study using local health care costs and epidemiological inputs from a population-based program to access the cost-effectiveness of adopting hrHPV test.
A cost-effectiveness analysis based on a microsimulation dynamic Markov model. Data and costs were based on data from the local setting and literature review. The setting was Indaiatuba, Brazil, that has adopted the hrHPV test in place of cytology since 2017. After calibrating the model, one million women were simulated in hypothetical cohorts. Three strategies were tested: cytology to women aged 25 to 64 every three years; hrHPV test to women 25-64 every five years; cytology to women 25-29 years every three years and hrHPV test to women 30-64 every five years (hybrid strategy). Outcomes were Quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) and Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER).
The hrHPV testing and the hybrid strategy were the dominant strategies. Costs were lower and provided a more effective option at a negative incremental ratio of US$ 37.87 for the hybrid strategy, and negative US$ 6.16 for the HPV strategy per QALY gained. Reduction on treatment costs would influence a decrease in ICER, and an increase in the costs of the hrHPV test would increase ICER.
Using population-based data, the switch from cytology to hrHPV testing in the cervical cancer screening program of Indaiatuba is less costly and cost-effective than the old cytology program.
报告一项基于人群的卫生保健成本和流行病学投入的建模研究,以评估采用人乳头瘤病毒(hrHPV)检测的成本效益。
这是一项基于微观模拟动态马尔可夫模型的成本效益分析。数据和成本基于当地数据和文献回顾。该研究地点为巴西印代杜巴,自 2017 年以来已采用 hrHPV 检测替代细胞学检测。在对模型进行校准后,对 100 万名妇女进行了模拟队列研究。共测试了三种策略:细胞学检测,对 25 至 64 岁的女性每三年一次;hrHPV 检测,对 25 至 64 岁的女性每五年一次;细胞学检测,对 25 至 29 岁的女性每三年一次,hrHPV 检测,对 30 至 64 岁的女性每五年一次(混合策略)。结果是质量调整生命年(QALY)和增量成本效益比(ICER)。
hrHPV 检测和混合策略是优势策略。混合策略的成本更低,效果更好,增量成本效益比为负 37.87 美元/质量调整生命年(QALY),hrHPV 检测策略的增量成本效益比为负 6.16 美元/质量调整生命年(QALY)。治疗成本的降低会降低 ICER,而 hrHPV 检测成本的增加会增加 ICER。
使用人群数据,印代杜巴的宫颈癌筛查项目从细胞学检测转向 hrHPV 检测比旧的细胞学方案更具成本效益。