School of shipping economics and management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, 116026, China.
School of Marxism, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, 200433, China.
J Environ Manage. 2021 Aug 15;292:112779. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112779. Epub 2021 May 19.
To better analyze China's carbon neutrality target, this study investigates the effect of green innovation and investment in the energy industry on China's provincial and regional data from 1995 to 2017. Using Westerlund and Edgerton's panel cointegration test, the authors found a stable long-run relationship between CO emissions and its determinants. We found that under major structural breaks at the local, regional, and global levels, such as the East Asian crises of 1997, the financial crises of 2007-2008, China's RMB exchange rate reform announced on August 11, 2015, and mild recession in 2001, CO emissions, income, green innovation, renewable energy use, and energy industry investment are cointegrated. The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is valid. In the long run, income, environmental innovation, investment in the energy industry, and renewable energy consumption are key contributors in explaining CO emissions. The empirical evidence from augmented mean group (AMG) is consistent with the estimates of CS-ARDL. Concerning practical implications, the findings suggest that there is a need to switch the Chinese economy to more sustainable sources of energy, a viable solution to abate environmental degradation. China should introduce and shift investments to green innovation.
为了更好地分析中国的碳中和目标,本研究调查了绿色创新和能源产业投资对中国省级和地区数据的影响,使用 Westerlund 和 Edgerton 的面板协整检验,作者发现 CO 排放及其决定因素之间存在稳定的长期关系。我们发现,在地方、区域和全球层面的重大结构断裂下,如 1997 年东亚危机、2007-2008 年金融危机、2015 年 8 月 11 日中国人民币汇率改革以及 2001 年温和衰退期间,CO 排放、收入、绿色创新、可再生能源利用和能源产业投资是协整的。环境库兹涅茨曲线假说成立。从长期来看,收入、环境创新、能源产业投资和可再生能源消费是解释 CO 排放的关键因素。扩展均值组(AMG)的实证证据与 CS-ARDL 的估计结果一致。关于实际意义,研究结果表明,中国经济需要转向更可持续的能源,这是减轻环境退化的可行解决方案。中国应该引入并转向绿色创新投资。