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测量 1990 年至 2019 年全球、区域和国家多发性骨髓瘤的负担。

Measuring the global, regional, and national burden of multiple myeloma from 1990 to 2019.

机构信息

Bone Marrow Transplantation Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, No.79 Qingchun Road, Hangzhou, China.

Institute of Hematology, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

BMC Cancer. 2021 May 25;21(1):606. doi: 10.1186/s12885-021-08280-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a major health concern. Understanding the different burden and tendency of MM in different regions is crucial for formulating specific local strategies. Therefore, we evaluated the epidemiologic patterns and explored the risk factors for MM death.

METHODS

Data on MM were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. We used incidence, mortality, and disability adjusted life-years to estimate the global, regional, and national burden of MM.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 155,688 (95% UI, 136,585 - 172,577) MM cases worldwide, of which 84,516 (54.3%, 70,924 - 94,910) were of men. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 1.72/100,000 persons (95% UI, 1.59-1.93) in 1990 and 1.92/100,000 persons (95% UI, 1.68-2.12) in 2019. The number of MM deaths increased 1.19-fold from 51,862 (95% UI, 47,710-58,979) in 1990 to 113,474 (95% UI, 99,527 - 121,735) in 2019; the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) was 1.42/100,000 persons (95% UI, 1.24-1.52) in 2019. In recent 15 years, ASDR showed a steady tendency for men, and a downward tendency for women. Countries with high social-demographic indexes exhibited a higher ASIR and ASDR. Australasia, North America, and Western Europe had the highest ASIR and ASDR, with 46.3% incident cases and 41.8% death cases. Monaco had the highest ASIR and ASDR, which was almost half as high as the second highest country Barbados. In addition, United Arab Emirates and Qatar had the largest growth multiple in ASIR and ASDR, which was twice the third country Djibouti.

CONCLUSIONS

Globally, incident and death MM cases have more than doubled over the past 30 years. The increasing global burden may continue with population aging, whereas mortality may continue to decrease with the progression of medical technology. The global burden pattern of MM was diverse, therefore specific local strategies based on different burden patterns for MM are necessary.

摘要

背景

多发性骨髓瘤(MM)是一个重大的健康问题。了解不同地区 MM 的负担和趋势对于制定特定的本地策略至关重要。因此,我们评估了流行病学模式,并探讨了 MM 死亡的风险因素。

方法

我们从 2019 年全球疾病负担研究中收集了 MM 数据。我们使用发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年来估计 MM 的全球、区域和国家负担。

结果

2019 年,全球有 155688 例(95%UI,136585-172577)MM 病例,其中 84516 例(54.3%,70924-94910)为男性。1990 年的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)为 1.72/100000 人(95%UI,1.59-1.93),2019 年为 1.92/100000 人(95%UI,1.68-2.12)。1990 年 MM 死亡人数为 51862 例(95%UI,47710-58979),2019 年增加到 113474 例(95%UI,99527-121735);2019 年的年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)为 1.42/100000 人(95%UI,1.24-1.52)。在过去的 15 年中,ASDR 呈男性稳定趋势,女性呈下降趋势。社会人口指数较高的国家发病率和死亡率较高。澳大拉西亚、北美和西欧的发病率和死亡率最高,分别占 46.3%的发病病例和 41.8%的死亡病例。摩纳哥的发病率和死亡率最高,几乎是第二高的国家巴巴多斯的一半。此外,阿拉伯联合酋长国和卡塔尔的发病率和死亡率增长倍数最大,是第三国吉布提的两倍。

结论

全球多发性骨髓瘤的发病和死亡病例在过去 30 年中增加了一倍多。随着人口老龄化,全球负担可能继续增加,而随着医疗技术的进步,死亡率可能继续下降。MM 的全球负担模式多种多样,因此需要根据 MM 的不同负担模式制定特定的本地策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3a53/8152089/083636294556/12885_2021_8280_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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