Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
University of Maryland School of Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Antimicrob Agents Chemother. 2021 Jul 16;65(8):e0079321. doi: 10.1128/AAC.00793-21.
Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bloodstream infections (BSI) are associated with considerable mortality in the hematologic malignancy population. Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) is the treatment of choice; however, it is not routinely included in empirical treatment regimens, both because of its adverse event profile and the relative rarity of S. maltophilia infections. We developed a risk score to predict hematologic malignancy patients at increased risk for S. maltophilia BSI to guide early (TMP-SMX) therapy. Patients ≥12 years of age admitted to five hospitals between July 2016 and December 2019 were included. Two separate risk scores were developed, (i) a "knowledge-driven" risk score based upon previously identified risk factors in the literature in addition to variables identified by regression analysis using the current cohort, and (ii) a risk score based upon automatic variable selection. For both scores, discrimination (receiver operator characteristic [ROC] curves and statistics) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and graphical calibration plots) were assessed. Internal validation was assessed using leave-one-out cross-validation. In total, 337 unique patients were included; 21 (6.2%) had S. maltophilia BSI. The knowledge-driven risk score (acute leukemia, absolute neutrophil count category, mucositis, central line, and ≥3 days of carbapenem therapy) had superior performance ( statistic = 0.75; 0.71 after cross-validation) compared to that of the risk score utilizing automatic variable selection ( statistic = 0.63; 0.38 after cross-validation). A user-friendly risk score incorporating five variables easily accessible to clinicians performed moderately well to predict hematologic malignancy patients at increased risk for S. maltophilia BSI. External validation using a larger cohort is necessary to create a refined risk score before broad clinical application.
嗜麦芽窄食单胞菌血流感染(BSI)与血液恶性肿瘤患者的死亡率密切相关。复方磺胺甲噁唑(TMP-SMX)是首选治疗药物;然而,由于其不良反应谱和嗜麦芽窄食单胞菌感染的相对罕见性,它并未常规纳入经验性治疗方案。我们开发了一种风险评分来预测血液恶性肿瘤患者发生嗜麦芽窄食单胞菌 BSI 的风险增加,以指导早期(TMP-SMX)治疗。纳入 2016 年 7 月至 2019 年 12 月期间五家医院收治的≥12 岁患者。开发了两种独立的风险评分,(i)基于文献中先前确定的危险因素以及使用当前队列进行回归分析确定的变量的“知识驱动”风险评分,以及(ii)基于自动变量选择的风险评分。对于这两种评分,均评估了判别能力(接受者操作特征[ROC]曲线和 统计量)和校准(Hosmer-Lemeshow 拟合优度检验和图形校准图)。使用留一法交叉验证评估内部验证。共纳入 337 例患者,21 例(6.2%)患有嗜麦芽窄食单胞菌 BSI。知识驱动的风险评分(急性白血病、中性粒细胞绝对计数类别、黏膜炎、中央导管和≥3 天的碳青霉烯类药物治疗)表现优于基于自动变量选择的风险评分( 统计量=0.75;交叉验证后为 0.71)。一个包含五个易于临床医生获取的变量的用户友好型风险评分可适度预测血液恶性肿瘤患者发生嗜麦芽窄食单胞菌 BSI 的风险增加。在广泛临床应用之前,需要使用更大的队列进行外部验证,以创建更精细的风险评分。