Division of Environmental and Preventive Medicine, Department of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University, Japan.
Division of Medical Zoology, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University, Japan.
J Psychiatr Res. 2021 Aug;140:39-44. doi: 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2021.05.035. Epub 2021 May 26.
We aimed to observe the changes in suicide rates after the Great East Japan Earthquake and during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, as typical cases of social crises, in Japan. A descriptive epidemiological study was conducted using data on the number of deaths by suicide published by the National Police Agency. The suicide rate ratio during the crisis-the monthly suicide mortality rate in the year of the crisis divided by the average suicide mortality rate in the three years before the crisis-was used as the indicator. After the earthquake, in March 2011 the suicide rate was 18% lower than the average mortality rate for the previous three years. However, it increased by 18% in May and 8% in June; increased mortality was observed among women. The suicide rate began to decline after October 2011. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the suicide rate decreased from February to June 2020. The declines in April and May were significant at 20% and 18%, respectively. From July onwards, the suicide rate of women began to rise, and from October, the overall suicide also began to increase. The rise in female suicide rates was significant, especially in October, with an increase of 70%. Thus, during these crises, suicide rates fell temporarily but then rose, especially among women. The period of increase in suicide rates was longer during the COVID-19 pandemic than after the earthquake. Therefore, there is an urgent need to promote measures for suicide prevention currently, and during a future crisis.
我们旨在观察日本特大地震和新冠疫情(COVID-19)这两个典型社会危机事件后自杀率的变化。本研究采用了国家警察厅公布的自杀死亡人数数据,通过描述性流行病学研究进行分析。使用危机期间的自杀率比值(危机年份的每月自杀死亡率除以危机前三年的平均自杀死亡率)作为指标。地震后,2011 年 3 月自杀率比前三年的平均死亡率低 18%。但 5 月和 6 月分别上升了 18%和 8%;女性的死亡率上升。2011 年 10 月后自杀率开始下降。在新冠疫情期间,2020 年 2 月至 6 月自杀率下降。4 月和 5 月的下降分别显著达到 20%和 18%。7 月起,女性自杀率开始上升,10 月起,整体自杀率也开始上升。女性自杀率上升显著,尤其是 10 月,上升了 70%。因此,在这些危机期间,自杀率暂时下降后又上升,尤其是女性。新冠疫情期间自杀率上升的时间比地震后更长。因此,目前和未来危机期间,迫切需要推行预防自杀的措施。