Division of Social Science, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong.
Research Team for Social Participation and Community Health, Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology, Tokyo, Japan.
Nat Hum Behav. 2021 Feb;5(2):229-238. doi: 10.1038/s41562-020-01042-z. Epub 2021 Jan 15.
There is increasing concern that the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could harm psychological health and exacerbate suicide risk. Here, based on month-level records of suicides covering the entire Japanese population in 1,848 administrative units, we assessed whether suicide mortality changed during the pandemic. Using difference-in-difference estimation, we found that monthly suicide rates declined by 14% during the first 5 months of the pandemic (February to June 2020). This could be due to a number of complex reasons, including the government's generous subsidies, reduced working hours and school closure. By contrast, monthly suicide rates increased by 16% during the second wave (July to October 2020), with a larger increase among females (37%) and children and adolescents (49%). Although adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic may remain in the long term, its modifiers (such as government subsidies) may not be sustained. Thus, effective suicide prevention-particularly among vulnerable populations-should be an important public health consideration.
人们越来越担心 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行可能会损害心理健康并加剧自杀风险。在这里,我们根据涵盖整个日本人口的 1848 个行政单位的自杀逐月记录,评估了在大流行期间自杀死亡率是否发生了变化。使用差分法估计,我们发现大流行的前 5 个月(2020 年 2 月至 6 月),每月自杀率下降了 14%。这可能是由于多种复杂原因造成的,包括政府的慷慨补贴、工作时间减少和学校关闭。相比之下,第二波(2020 年 7 月至 10 月)每月自杀率上升了 16%,其中女性(37%)和儿童及青少年(49%)的增幅更大。尽管 COVID-19 大流行的不利影响可能会持续很长时间,但它的修饰符(例如政府补贴)可能不会持续。因此,有效的自杀预防——特别是在弱势群体中——应该是一个重要的公共卫生考虑因素。
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