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基于随机森林的儿童房间隔缺损介入后心律失常预测。

Prediction of arrhythmia after intervention in children with atrial septal defect based on random forest.

机构信息

Qingdao Women and Children's Hospital, Qingdao University, 266034, Qingdao, China.

Institute Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 266071, Qingdao, China.

出版信息

BMC Pediatr. 2021 Jun 16;21(1):280. doi: 10.1186/s12887-021-02744-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Using random forest to predict arrhythmia after intervention in children with atrial septal defect.

METHODS

We constructed a prediction model of complications after interventional closure for children with atrial septal defect. The model was based on random forest, and it solved the need for postoperative arrhythmia risk prediction and assisted clinicians and patients' families to make preoperative decisions.

RESULTS

Available risk prediction models provided patients with specific risk factor assessments, we used Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique algorithm and random forest machine learning to propose a prediction model, and got a prediction accuracy of 94.65 % and an Area Under Curve value of 0.8956.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study was based on the model constructed by random forest, which can effectively predict the complications of arrhythmia after interventional closure in children with atrial septal defect.

摘要

背景

使用随机森林预测房间隔缺损介入治疗后心律失常。

方法

我们构建了房间隔缺损介入封堵术后并发症的预测模型。该模型基于随机森林,解决了术后心律失常风险预测的需要,辅助临床医生和患者家属做出术前决策。

结果

现有的风险预测模型为患者提供了特定的风险因素评估,我们使用合成少数过采样技术算法和随机森林机器学习提出了一个预测模型,得到了 94.65%的预测准确率和 0.8956 的曲线下面积值。

结论

我们的研究基于随机森林构建的模型,可以有效预测房间隔缺损介入封堵术后心律失常并发症。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa52/8207618/a1abe8d9d6db/12887_2021_2744_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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