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中国违反医嘱出院的极早产儿与接受重症监护治疗的极早产儿的估计生存率和主要合并症

Estimated Survival and Major Comorbidities of Very Preterm Infants Discharged Against Medical Advice vs Treated With Intensive Care in China.

作者信息

Jiang Siyuan, Huang Xiangyuan, Zhang Lan, Han Junyan, Yang Yi, Wang Weiping, Lee Shoo K, Yan Weili, Cao Yun

机构信息

Department of Neonatology, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2021 Jun 1;4(6):e2113197. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.13197.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

A significant proportion of very preterm infants (<32 weeks' gestation) are discharged against medical advice (DAMA) from neonatal intensive care units in China. There is minimal information available on the potential outcomes of providing complete care before discharge in these infants.

OBJECTIVE

To describe potential neonatal outcomes of DAMA in very preterm infants if they receive complete care based on estimates derived from a group of propensity score-matched infants who are not DAMA.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study enrolled all infants born at between 24 and 31 weeks' gestation from May 1, 2015, to April 30, 2018, and admitted to 25 tertiary neonatal intensive care units across China within 7 days of birth. A multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression model was constructed to estimate the propensity score for the likelihood of DAMA for each infant. Infants who were not DAMA were then matched to DAMA infants with the closest propensity score on a 1:1 ratio by using a nearest neighbor greedy matching algorithm without replacement. Incidences of neonatal outcomes were then calculated among the matched non-DAMA infants to simulate the outcomes of DAMA infants. Statistical analyses were performed from August 16, 2020, to September 26, 2020.

EXPOSURES

Discharge against medical advice, which was defined as termination of treatment and discharge before the treating physicians recommended discharge.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Survival and survival without major morbidity.

RESULTS

The study enrolled a total of 14 083 infants (8141 boys [57.8%]) with a median gestational age of 30.1 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 29.0-31.1 weeks) and a median birth weight of 1400 g (IQR, 1170-1600 g). Overall, 1876 of 14 083 very preterm infants (13.3%; 95% CI, 12.8%-13.9%) were DAMA, of whom 1367 of 1876 (72.9%; 95% CI, 70.8%-74.8%) required intensive care on discharge. A total of 1473 DAMA infants were successfully matched to 1473 non-DAMA infants. Overall, 1211 of 1473 matched non-DAMA infants (82.2%; 95% CI, 80.2%-84.1%) survived to discharge. The survival rates were 68.3% (95% CI, 62.4%-73.7%) for infants at 26 to 27 weeks' gestation, 84.1% (95% CI, 80.7%-87.0%) for infants 28 to 29 weeks' gestation, and 92.4% (95% CI, 90.0%-94.2%) for infants at 30 to 31 weeks' gestation. A total of 872 of 1473 matched non-DAMA infants (59.2%; 95% CI, 56.7%-61.7%) survived without any major morbidity.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The results of this cohort study suggest that very preterm infants who are DAMA from neonatal intensive care units may have intact survival if complete care is provided. Efforts to reduce DAMA may be associated with improved outcomes of very preterm infants in China.

摘要

重要性

在中国,相当一部分极早产儿(妊娠<32周)违背医嘱(DAMA)从新生儿重症监护病房出院。关于在这些婴儿出院前提供全面护理的潜在结果,目前可得信息极少。

目的

根据一组倾向评分匹配的非违背医嘱婴儿的估计数据,描述极早产儿违背医嘱出院但接受全面护理后的潜在新生儿结局。

设计、设置和参与者:这项队列研究纳入了2015年5月1日至2018年4月30日出生时孕周在24至31周之间、出生后7天内入住中国25家三级新生儿重症监护病房的所有婴儿。构建了一个多层次混合效应逻辑回归模型,以估计每个婴儿违背医嘱可能性的倾向评分。然后,通过使用无放回的最近邻贪婪匹配算法,将非违背医嘱的婴儿与倾向评分最接近的违背医嘱婴儿按1:1比例进行匹配。随后计算匹配的非违背医嘱婴儿中的新生儿结局发生率,以模拟违背医嘱婴儿的结局。统计分析于2020年8月16日至2020年9月26日进行。

暴露因素

违背医嘱出院,定义为在治疗医生建议出院前终止治疗并出院。

主要结局和测量指标

存活及存活且无严重疾病。

结果

该研究共纳入14083名婴儿(8141名男孩[57.8%]),中位孕周为30.1周(四分位间距[IQR],29.0 - 31.1周),中位出生体重为1400 g(IQR,1170 - 1600 g)。总体而言,14083名极早产儿中有1876名(13.3%;95%CI,12.8% - 13.9%)违背医嘱出院,其中1876名中的1367名(72.9%;95%CI,70.8% - 74.8%)出院时需要重症护理。共有1473名违背医嘱出院的婴儿成功与1473名非违背医嘱出院的婴儿匹配。总体而言,1473名匹配的非违背医嘱出院婴儿中有1211名(82.2%;95%CI,8

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