Ibukun Cleopatra Oluseye, Adebayo Abayomi Ayinla
Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences Obafemi Awolowo University Ile-Ife.
Afr Dev Rev. 2021 Apr;33(Suppl 1):S75-S87. doi: 10.1111/1467-8268.12515. Epub 2021 Mar 10.
Pivotal to human development and the sustainable development goals is food security, which remains of substantial concern globally and in Nigeria, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic despite various palliatives and intervention initiatives launched to improve household welfare. This study examined the food security status of households during the pandemic and investigated its determinants using the COVID-19 National Longitudinal Phone Survey (COVID-19 NLPS). In analysing the data, descriptive statistics, bivariate as well as multivariate analysis were employed. Findings from the descriptive statistics showed that only 12% of the households were food secure, 5% were mildly food insecure, 24.5% were moderately food insecure and over half of the households (58.5%) experienced severe food insecurity. The result from the ordered probit regression identified socioeconomic variables (education, income and wealth status) as the main determinants of food security during the pandemic. This study indicates that over two-thirds of households were threatened by food insecurity in Nigeria. The finding indicates the gross inadequacy of government palliative support and distribution. Thus, regarding policy implication, interventions and palliatives should be well planned and consistent with household size and needs.
粮食安全是人类发展和可持续发展目标的关键，在全球范围内以及尼日利亚，它仍然是一个重大关切问题，尤其是在新冠疫情期间，尽管已推出各种缓解措施和干预举措来改善家庭福利。本研究利用新冠疫情全国纵向电话调查（COVID-19 NLPS），考察了疫情期间家庭的粮食安全状况，并对其决定因素进行了调查。在分析数据时，采用了描述性统计、双变量分析以及多变量分析。描述性统计结果显示，只有12%的家庭粮食安全，5%的家庭轻度粮食不安全，24.5%的家庭中度粮食不安全，超过一半的家庭（58.5%）经历了严重粮食不安全。有序概率回归结果确定社会经济变量（教育、收入和财富状况）为疫情期间粮食安全的主要决定因素。本研究表明，在尼日利亚，超过三分之二的家庭受到粮食不安全的威胁。这一发现表明政府的缓解支持和分配存在严重不足。因此，就政策影响而言，干预措施和缓解措施应精心规划，并与家庭规模和需求相一致。
