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术前C反应蛋白与白蛋白比值预测脑死亡供体肝移植术后发病率和死亡率的临床价值及局限性:一项回顾性单中心研究

Clinical value and limitations of the preoperative C-reactive-protein-to-albumin ratio in predicting post-operative morbidity and mortality after deceased-donor liver transplantation: a retrospective single-centre study.

作者信息

Amygdalos Iakovos, Bednarsch Jan, Meister Franziska Alexandra, Erren David, Mantas Anna, Strnad Pavel, Lang Sven Arke, Ulmer Tom Florian, Boecker Joerg, Liu Wenjia, Jiang Decan, Bruners Philipp, Neumann Ulf Peter, Czigany Zoltan

机构信息

Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany.

Department of Internal Medicine III, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany.

出版信息

Transpl Int. 2021 Aug;34(8):1468-1480. doi: 10.1111/tri.13957. Epub 2021 Jul 4.

Abstract

Liver transplantation is still associated with a high risk of severe complications and post-operative mortality. This study examines the predictive value of the preoperative C-reactive-protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) regarding perioperative morbidity and mortality in deceased-donor liver transplantation (DDLT) recipients. In total, 390 DDLT recipients between 05/2010 and 03/2020 were eligible. Predictive abilities of CAR were examined through receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses. Groups were compared using parametric and non-parametric tests as appropriate. Independent risk factors for morbidity and mortality were identified using uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses. A good predictive ability for CAR was shown regarding perioperative morbidity (comprehensive complication index ≥75, Clavien-Dindo score ≥4a) and 12-month mortality, with an ideal cut-off of CAR = 26%. Patients with CAR>26% had significantly higher median CCI scores (60 vs. 43, P < 0.001), longer intensive care unit (ICU, 5 vs. 4 days, P < 0.001) and hospital (28 vs. 21 days, P < 0.001) stays and higher 12-month mortality rates (20% vs 6%, P < 0.001). Multivariable analyses identified CAR>26%, pre-OLT inpatient hospitalization (including ICU) and post-operative red blood cell transfusions as independent predictors of severe cumulative morbidity (CCI≥75). Preoperative CAR might be a reliable additional tool to predict perioperative morbidity and mortality in DDLT recipients.

摘要

肝移植仍然与严重并发症和术后死亡率的高风险相关。本研究探讨术前C反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CAR)对已故供体肝移植(DDLT)受者围手术期发病率和死亡率的预测价值。2010年5月至2020年3月期间共有390例DDLT受者符合条件。通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析来检验CAR的预测能力。根据情况使用参数检验和非参数检验对各组进行比较。采用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析确定发病率和死亡率的独立危险因素。结果显示,CAR对围手术期发病率(综合并发症指数≥75,Clavien-Dindo评分≥4a)和12个月死亡率具有良好的预测能力,理想的CAR临界值为26%。CAR>26%的患者中位CCI评分显著更高(60对43,P<0.001),重症监护病房(ICU)住院时间更长(5天对4天,P<0.001),住院时间更长(28天对21天,P<0.001),12个月死亡率更高(20%对6%,P<0.001)。多变量分析确定CAR>26%、OLT术前住院(包括ICU)和术后红细胞输血是严重累积发病率(CCI≥75)的独立预测因素。术前CAR可能是预测DDLT受者围手术期发病率和死亡率的可靠辅助工具。

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