Gaubert Benjamin, Bouarar Idir, Doumbia Thierno, Liu Yiming, Stavrakou Trissevgeni, Deroubaix Adrien, Darras Sabine, Elguindi Nellie, Granier Claire, Lacey Forrest, Müller Jean-François, Shi Xiaoqin, Tilmes Simone, Wang Tao, Brasseur Guy P
National Center for Atmospheric Research Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory Boulder CO USA.
Environmental Modeling Group Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg Germany.
J Geophys Res Atmos. 2021 Apr;126(8):e2020JD034213. doi: 10.1029/2020JD034213. Epub 2021 Apr 27.
We use the global Community Earth System Model to investigate the response of secondary pollutants (ozone O, secondary organic aerosols SOA) in different parts of the world in response to modified emissions of primary pollutants during the COVID-19 pandemic. We quantify the respective effects of the reductions in NOx and in volatile organic carbon (VOC) emissions, which, in most cases, affect oxidants in opposite ways. Using model simulations, we show that the level of NOx has been reduced by typically 40% in China during February 2020 and by similar amounts in many areas of Europe and North America in mid-March to mid-April 2020, in good agreement with space and surface observations. We show that, relative to a situation in which the emission reductions are ignored and despite the calculated increase in hydroxyl and peroxy radicals, the ozone concentration increased only in a few NOx-saturated regions (northern China, northern Europe, and the US) during the winter months of the pandemic when the titration of this molecule by NOx was reduced. In other regions, where ozone is NOx-controlled, the concentration of ozone decreased. SOA concentrations decrease in response to the concurrent reduction in the NOx and VOC emissions. The model also shows that atmospheric meteorological anomalies produced substantial variations in the concentrations of chemical species during the pandemic. In Europe, for example, a large fraction of the ozone increase in February 2020 was associated with meteorological anomalies, while in the North China Plain, enhanced ozone concentrations resulted primarily from reduced emissions of primary pollutants.
我们使用全球社区地球系统模型,来研究在新冠疫情期间,全球不同地区的二次污染物(臭氧O、二次有机气溶胶SOA)对一次污染物排放变化的响应。我们量化了氮氧化物(NOx)和挥发性有机碳(VOC)排放减少的各自影响,在大多数情况下,它们对氧化剂的影响方式相反。通过模型模拟,我们发现2020年2月中国的NOx水平通常降低了40%,2020年3月中旬至4月中旬欧洲和北美的许多地区也有类似程度的降低,这与空间和地面观测结果高度一致。我们表明,相对于忽略减排情况而言,尽管计算得出羟基和过氧自由基有所增加,但在疫情冬季月份,当该分子被NOx滴定作用减弱时,仅在中国北方、北欧和美国等少数NOx饱和地区臭氧浓度有所增加。在其他臭氧受NOx控制的地区,臭氧浓度则下降。由于NOx和VOC排放同时减少,SOA浓度降低。该模型还表明,疫情期间大气气象异常导致化学物质浓度产生了大幅变化。例如,在欧洲,2020年2月臭氧增加的很大一部分与气象异常有关,而在中国华北平原,臭氧浓度升高主要是由于一次污染物排放减少。