Wang Donghui, Hagedorn Annelise, Chi Guangqing
Princeton University.
Blue Ridge Community College.
J Ethn Migr Stud. 2021;47(13):3015-3036. doi: 10.1080/1369183x.2019.1683442. Epub 2019 Nov 2.
Globalized labor migration and remittances can help alleviate household poverty and provide supplemental income in many countries. Kyrgyzstan, like other Central Asian countries, has experienced dramatic geopolitical changes, economic reform, and rapid demographic shifts in the post-Soviet-Union era. Based on measurements of GDP, it is one of the most remittance-dependent countries in the world. This study uses data from the Life in Kyrgyzstan Study collected from 2011 to 2013 to break down household budgets into eight consumption categories as part of a detailed analysis of how varying remittance receipt is related to household spending. We address two methodological concerns: 1) the endogeneity of remittances and 2) population heterogeneity. In so doing, we find remittances have limited effects on household spending-while changes in remittances do yield small changes on the budget shares of food and medical expenses, no effects were found on other consumption shares. These results suggest that households in Kyrgyzstan may take remittances as permanent income and alter consumption shares along with changes in remittances. By focusing on a country whose GDP relies heavily on remittances, the findings increase our understanding of how remittances affect spending at the household level.
全球化的劳动力迁移和汇款有助于减轻许多国家的家庭贫困并提供补充收入。与其他中亚国家一样,吉尔吉斯斯坦在苏联解体后的时代经历了巨大的地缘政治变化、经济改革和快速的人口结构转变。根据国内生产总值的衡量标准,它是世界上最依赖汇款的国家之一。本研究使用2011年至2013年收集的吉尔吉斯斯坦生活研究数据,将家庭预算细分为八个消费类别,作为对不同汇款收入与家庭支出之间关系进行详细分析的一部分。我们解决了两个方法上的问题:1)汇款的内生性和2)人口异质性。通过这样做,我们发现汇款对家庭支出的影响有限——虽然汇款的变化确实会对食品和医疗费用的预算份额产生微小变化,但对其他消费份额没有影响。这些结果表明,吉尔吉斯斯坦的家庭可能将汇款视为永久性收入,并随着汇款的变化而改变消费份额。通过关注一个国内生产总值严重依赖汇款的国家,这些发现增进了我们对汇款如何影响家庭层面支出的理解。