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住宅氡暴露与白血病:生态、病例对照和队列研究的荟萃分析及剂量反应荟萃分析

Residential radon exposure and leukemia: A meta-analysis and dose-response meta-analyses for ecological, case-control, and cohort studies.

作者信息

Moon Jinyoung, Yoo HyeKyoung

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Science, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Gwanak-ro 1, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea; Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Seoul Saint Mary's Hospital, Banpo-daero 222, Seocho-gu, Seoul, 06591, Republic of Korea.

Department of Environmental Health Science, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Gwanak-ro 1, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2021 Nov;202:111714. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111714. Epub 2021 Jul 16.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

In this study, the authors conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis (including a dose-response meta-analysis) for a possible causal association between residential radon exposure and leukemia. All 3 types of study design, including ecological, case-control, and cohort studies, were included in this study. In particular, different measurement units of radon exposure among studies were dealt with and analyzed thoroughly.

METHODS

A medical librarian searched MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library (from January 01, 1970 to November 05, 2020). For ecological studies, a conventional meta-analysis and subgroup analyses with meta-ANOVA analyses were conducted. For case-control and cohort studies, a two-stage dose-response meta-analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

A total of 8 ecological, 9 case-control, and 15 ecological-cohort studies were analyzed. For ecological studies, the pooled correlation coefficient was 0.48 (95% CI 0.41-0.54). In the meta-analysis of variance (ANOVA) analyses, the age group (childhood vs. adult) showed a statistically significant result (Q = 7.93 and p = 0.019) with the pooled correlation coefficient for childhood, adult, and all age group of 0.67 (95% CI 0.53-0.77), 0.46 (95% CI 0.05-0.74), and 0.44 (95% CI 0.36-0.51), respectively. For case-control studies, the dose-response meta-analysis showed the pooled OR increase of 1.0308 (95% CI 1.0050-1.0573) for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose. The pooled OR increase was 1.0361 (95% CI 1.0014-1.0720) for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose for lymphoid leukemia subgroup and 1.0309 (95% CI 1.0050-1.0575) for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose for childhood leukemia subgroup. Because of the inclusion of ecological studies with larger exposure assessment units, the pooled RR from ecological-cohort studies should be interpreted conservatively (a tendency towards a higher risk estimate). The overall pooled RR increase for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose was 1.1221 (95% CI 1.0184-1.2363). The pooled RR increase was 1.2257 (95% CI 1.0034-1.4972) for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose for the myeloid leukemia subgroup and 1.2503 (95% CI 1.0233-1.5276) for each 100 Bq/m increase of radon dose for adult leukemia subgroup.

DISCUSSION

A number of epidemiologic concepts, including the issue of sample size justification, the possibility of differential participation selection bias for case-control studies, the possibility of random and systematic errors in radon measurement, ecological fallacy for ecological studies, were discussed. The effect of age group, socioeconomic status, and gamma radiation exposure was also discussed. Future more accurate and conclusive large-scale case-control and cohort studies are needed.

摘要

引言

在本研究中,作者针对居住环境中氡暴露与白血病之间可能存在的因果关联进行了全面的系统综述和荟萃分析(包括剂量反应荟萃分析)。本研究纳入了所有三种类型的研究设计,即生态学研究、病例对照研究和队列研究。特别是,对各研究中氡暴露的不同测量单位进行了全面处理和分析。

方法

一名医学图书馆员检索了MEDLINE(PubMed)、EMBASE和Cochrane图书馆(时间范围为1970年1月1日至2020年11月5日)。对于生态学研究,进行了常规荟萃分析以及采用方差分析的亚组分析。对于病例对照研究和队列研究,进行了两阶段剂量反应荟萃分析。

结果

共分析了8项生态学研究、9项病例对照研究和15项生态队列研究。对于生态学研究,合并相关系数为0.48(95%CI 0.41 - 0.54)。在方差分析(ANOVA)分析中,年龄组(儿童期与成年期)显示出具有统计学意义的结果(Q = 7.93,p = 0.019),儿童期、成年期和所有年龄组的合并相关系数分别为0.67(95%CI 0.53 - 0.77)、0.46(95%CI 0.05 - 0.74)和0.44(95%CI 0.36 - 0.51)。对于病例对照研究,剂量反应荟萃分析显示,氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,合并比值比(OR)增加1.0308(95%CI 1.0050 - 1.0573)。对于淋巴细胞白血病亚组,氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,合并OR增加1.0361(95%CI 1.0014 - 1.0720);对于儿童白血病亚组,氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,合并OR增加1.0309(95%CI 1.0050 - 1.0575)。由于纳入了暴露评估单位较大的生态学研究,生态队列研究的合并相对危险度(RR)应谨慎解读(有风险估计值偏高的趋势)。氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,总体合并RR增加为1.1221(95%CI 1.0184 - 1.2363)。对于髓细胞白血病亚组,氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,合并RR增加为1.2257(95%CI 1.0034 - 1.4972);对于成年白血病亚组,氡剂量每增加100 Bq/m³,合并RR增加为1.2503(95%CI 1.0233 - 1.5276)。

讨论

讨论了一些流行病学概念,包括样本量合理性问题、病例对照研究中差异参与选择偏倚的可能性、氡测量中随机和系统误差的可能性、生态学研究中的生态学谬误。还讨论了年龄组、社会经济地位和γ辐射暴露的影响。未来需要更准确、更具结论性的大规模病例对照研究和队列研究。

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