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错误信息使疾病爆发情况恶化:流感、猴痘和诺如病毒的结果比较

Misinformation making a disease outbreak worse: outcomes compared for influenza, monkeypox, and norovirus.

作者信息

Brainard Julii, Hunter Paul R

机构信息

Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, UK.

出版信息

Simulation. 2020 Apr;96(4):365-374. doi: 10.1177/0037549719885021.


DOI:10.1177/0037549719885021
PMID:34285423
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8282656/
Abstract

Health misinformation can exacerbate infectious disease outbreaks. Especially pernicious advice could be classified as "fake news": manufactured with no respect for accuracy and often integrated with emotive or conspiracy-framed narratives. We built an agent-based model that simulated separate but linked circulating contagious disease and sharing of health advice (classified as useful or harmful). Such advice has potential to influence human risk-taking behavior and therefore the risk of acquiring infection, especially as people are more likely in observed social networks to share bad advice. We test strategies proposed in the recent literature for countering misinformation. Reducing harmful advice from 50% to 40% of circulating information, or making at least 20% of the population unable to share or believe harmful advice, mitigated the influence of bad advice in the disease outbreak outcomes. How feasible it is to try to make people "immune" to misinformation or control spread of harmful advice should be explored.

摘要

健康错误信息会加剧传染病的爆发。特别有害的建议可被归类为“假新闻”:其编造不顾准确性,且常与情绪化或阴谋论框架的叙事相结合。我们构建了一个基于主体的模型,该模型模拟了相互独立但又相互关联的传染病传播以及健康建议(分为有用或有害)的分享。此类建议有可能影响人类的冒险行为,进而影响感染风险,尤其是因为在观察到的社交网络中,人们更有可能分享不良建议。我们测试了近期文献中提出的应对错误信息的策略。将有害建议在传播信息中的占比从50%降至40%,或者使至少20%的人口无法分享或相信有害建议,可减轻不良建议对疾病爆发结果的影响。应探讨让人们对错误信息“免疫”或控制有害建议传播的可行性。

相似文献

[1]
Misinformation making a disease outbreak worse: outcomes compared for influenza, monkeypox, and norovirus.

Simulation. 2020-4

[2]
An agent-based model about the effects of fake news on a norovirus outbreak.

Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 2020-4

[3]
Fake news in the age of COVID-19: evolutional and psychobiological considerations.

Psychiatriki. 2022-9-19

[4]
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[5]
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J Med Internet Res. 2020-5-6

[6]
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J Cogn. 2020-1-10

[7]
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JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2021-4-14

[8]
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Vaccines (Basel). 2022-10-17

[9]
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PNAS Nexus. 2024-2-27

[10]
Monkeypox: New epidemic or fake news? Study of psychological and social factors associated with fake news attitudes of monkeypox in Italy.

Front Psychol. 2023-2-17

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Sci Rep. 2025-5-6

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Npj Complex. 2025

[3]
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J R Soc Interface. 2025-1

[4]
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PLoS Comput Biol. 2024-12-30

[5]
Social and Behavioural Change Communication Challenges, Opportunities and Lessons from Past Public Health Emergencies and Disease Outbreaks: A Scoping Review.

Ann Glob Health. 2024

[6]
The role of social media on COVID-19 preventive behaviors worldwide, systematic review.

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[7]
Modelling the impact of human behavior using a two-layer Watts-Strogatz network for transmission and control of Mpox.

BMC Infect Dis. 2024-3-26

[8]
A Cross-Sectional Study To Assess Knowledge of Monkeypox Among Medical Students and Graduates in India.

Cureus. 2023-11-30

[9]
Assessment of Knowledge, Perceptions, and Attitudes During the Global Mpox Outbreak in June 2022: A Cross-Sectional Study From the United Arab Emirates.

Int J Public Health. 2023

[10]
Monkeypox: a global health emergency.

Front Microbiol. 2023-4-26

本文引用的文献

[1]
An agent-based model about the effects of fake news on a norovirus outbreak.

Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 2020-4

[2]
Institutional trust and misinformation in the response to the 2018-19 Ebola outbreak in North Kivu, DR Congo: a population-based survey.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019-3-27

[3]
Emergence of Monkeypox as the Most Important Orthopoxvirus Infection in Humans.

Front Public Health. 2018-9-4

[4]
EpiModel: An R Package for Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Disease over Networks.

J Stat Softw. 2018-4

[5]
The spread of true and false news online.

Science. 2018-3-9

[6]
The science of fake news.

Science. 2018-3-9

[7]
How social media is transforming the spreading of knowledge: Implications for our perceptions concerning vaccinations and migrant health.

Scand J Public Health. 2018-3

[8]
Effect of knowledge and perceptions of risks on Ebola-preventive behaviours in Ghana.

Int Health. 2018-5-1

[9]
Norovirus transmission dynamics: a modelling review.

Epidemiol Infect. 2017-12-22

[10]
Lessons from a decade of individual-based models for infectious disease transmission: a systematic review (2006-2015).

BMC Infect Dis. 2017-9-11

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