Brainard Julii, Hunter Paul R
Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, UK.
Simulation. 2020 Apr;96(4):365-374. doi: 10.1177/0037549719885021.
Health misinformation can exacerbate infectious disease outbreaks. Especially pernicious advice could be classified as "fake news": manufactured with no respect for accuracy and often integrated with emotive or conspiracy-framed narratives. We built an agent-based model that simulated separate but linked circulating contagious disease and sharing of health advice (classified as useful or harmful). Such advice has potential to influence human risk-taking behavior and therefore the risk of acquiring infection, especially as people are more likely in observed social networks to share bad advice. We test strategies proposed in the recent literature for countering misinformation. Reducing harmful advice from 50% to 40% of circulating information, or making at least 20% of the population unable to share or believe harmful advice, mitigated the influence of bad advice in the disease outbreak outcomes. How feasible it is to try to make people "immune" to misinformation or control spread of harmful advice should be explored.
健康错误信息会加剧传染病的爆发。特别有害的建议可被归类为“假新闻”:其编造不顾准确性,且常与情绪化或阴谋论框架的叙事相结合。我们构建了一个基于主体的模型,该模型模拟了相互独立但又相互关联的传染病传播以及健康建议(分为有用或有害)的分享。此类建议有可能影响人类的冒险行为,进而影响感染风险,尤其是因为在观察到的社交网络中,人们更有可能分享不良建议。我们测试了近期文献中提出的应对错误信息的策略。将有害建议在传播信息中的占比从50%降至40%,或者使至少20%的人口无法分享或相信有害建议,可减轻不良建议对疾病爆发结果的影响。应探讨让人们对错误信息“免疫”或控制有害建议传播的可行性。
Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 2020-4
Psychiatriki. 2022-9-19
J Med Internet Res. 2020-5-6
JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2021-4-14
PNAS Nexus. 2024-2-27
J R Soc Interface. 2025-1
PLoS Comput Biol. 2024-12-30
Front Microbiol. 2023-4-26
Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 2020-4
Front Public Health. 2018-9-4
Science. 2018-3-9
Science. 2018-3-9
Epidemiol Infect. 2017-12-22