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2019冠状病毒病超级传播事件风险的时间变化

Temporal Changes in the Risk of Superspreading Events of Coronavirus Disease 2019.

作者信息

Lim Jun-Sik, Noh Eunbi, Shim Eunha, Ryu Sukhyun

机构信息

Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.

College of Veterinary Medicine and Institute of Veterinary Science, Kangwon National University, Chuncheon, South Korea.

出版信息

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2021 Jun 30;8(7):ofab350. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofab350. eCollection 2021 Jul.

Abstract

To identify the temporal change in the possible risk of superspreading events, we estimated the overdispersion parameter in 2 different periods of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. We determined that the possible risk of superspreading events was reduced 90% during the second epidemic period in South Korea.

摘要

为了确定超级传播事件潜在风险的时间变化,我们估算了2019年冠状病毒病大流行两个不同时期的过度离散参数。我们确定,在韩国的第二个疫情时期,超级传播事件的潜在风险降低了90%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c543/8313518/67e0984718ae/ofab350_fig1.jpg

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