Lievens Filip, Sackett Paul R, De Corte Wilfried
Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Singapore Management University, Singapore.
Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Med Educ. 2022 Feb;56(2):151-158. doi: 10.1111/medu.14606. Epub 2021 Aug 20.
Although many medical schools seek to improve diversity, they grapple with the challenge of how to weight the scores of different admission methods to achieve a balance between obtaining high predictiveness and ensuring diversity in the selected student pool. Yet, in large-scale employment settings, substantial progress has been made on this front: Pareto-optimization has been introduced as an elegant statistical tool to assist decision makers in determining the weights assigned to selection methods in advance (before the selection has taken place) so that a selection system is designed to achieve an optimal balance as reflected by the trade-off that one outcome (e.g., predictiveness) cannot be improved without harm to the other outcome (e.g., diversity).
This paper reviews the theory and research evidence about Pareto-optimization and explains how Pareto-optimization permits medical schools to better balance predictiveness and diversity in medical admission systems.
After reviewing common weighting schemes (unit, regression-based and ad hoc weighting) and their drawbacks, we introduce the theory and logic of Pareto-optimization for better balancing predictiveness and diversity. To this end, we also offer an illustrative example. Next, we review the mathematical basis and available research evidence regarding Pareto-optimization. Finally, we discuss potential criticisms (i.e., complexity and legal concerns).
Compared to traditional unit weighting, regression-based weighting and ad hoc weighting, Pareto-optimization leads to substantial increases in diversity intake (up to three times more), while keeping the predictiveness of the selection methods at the same level. Moreover, the Pareto-optimization is robust to sampling variability and variability of the input selection parameters.
尽管许多医学院校致力于提高多样性,但它们面临着如何权衡不同录取方式的分数,以在获得高预测性和确保所选学生群体的多样性之间取得平衡这一挑战。然而,在大规模就业环境中,在这方面已经取得了显著进展:帕累托优化作为一种精妙的统计工具被引入,以帮助决策者在预先(在选拔进行之前)确定分配给选拔方法的权重,从而设计一个选拔系统,以实现一种最优平衡,这种平衡体现在一个结果(例如预测性)在不损害另一个结果(例如多样性)的情况下无法得到改善的权衡之中。
本文回顾了关于帕累托优化的理论和研究证据,并解释了帕累托优化如何使医学院校在医学录取系统中更好地平衡预测性和多样性。
在回顾了常见的加权方案(单位加权、基于回归的加权和临时加权)及其缺点之后,我们介绍了帕累托优化的理论和逻辑,以更好地平衡预测性和多样性。为此,我们还提供了一个示例。接下来,我们回顾了关于帕累托优化的数学基础和现有研究证据。最后,我们讨论了潜在的批评意见(即复杂性和法律问题)。
与传统的单位加权、基于回归的加权和临时加权相比,帕累托优化在保持选拔方法预测性水平不变的同时,使多样性录取大幅增加(多达三倍)。此外,帕累托优化对抽样变异性和输入选择参数的变异性具有稳健性。