Hoang Tung, Tran Thi Anh Tho
Department of Cancer Biomedical Science, National Cancer Center Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, Goyang, Korea.
Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nghe An Oncology Hospital, Nghe An, Vietnam.
Infect Chemother. 2021 Mar;53(1):13-28. doi: 10.3947/ic.2020.0136.
Severe illness and poor outcome are mainly associated with aging or certain medical comorbidities, especially chronic diseases. However, factors for unfavorable prognosis have not been well described owing to relatively small sample sizes and single-center reports. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the contribution of comorbidities in the development of critical conditions in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Pooled estimates of relative risks (RRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by conducting a meta-analysis and network meta-analysis of 18 studies. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was most strongly associated with the overall critical condition (RR = 4.22, 95% CI = 3.12 - 5.69), followed by cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR = 3.00, 95% CI = 2.41 - 3.73), malignancy (RR = 2.91, 95% CI = 2.16 - 3.91), cerebrovascular accident (CVA) (RR = 2.86, 95% CI = 1.95 - 4.19), diabetes (RR = 2.10, 95% CI = 2.16 - 3.91), hypertension (RR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.82 - 2.23), and chronic kidney disease (RR = 2.00, 95% CI = 1.36 - 2.94). The presence of comorbidities except for chronic liver disease and chronic kidney disease significantly increased the risk of severe infection, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and cardiac injury in the subgroup analysis by types of critical conditions. Preexisting hypertension and diabetes additionally increased the risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Among comorbidities, COPD had the highest probability of leading to severe COVID-19, ICU admission, and liver injury, while malignancy was most likely to cause ARDS and cardiac injury. In summary, preexisting COPD, CVD, CVA, hypertension, diabetes, and malignancy are more likely to worsen the progression of COVID-19, with severe infection, ICU admission requirement, and cardiac injury development.
重症和不良预后主要与衰老或某些合并症相关,尤其是慢性病。然而,由于样本量相对较小且为单中心报告,不良预后的因素尚未得到充分描述。因此,本研究旨在比较合并症在2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者危重症发生中的作用。通过对18项研究进行荟萃分析和网状荟萃分析,计算相对风险(RR)的合并估计值及其95%置信区间(CI)。慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)与总体危重症关联最为密切(RR = 4.22,95% CI = 3.12 - 5.69),其次是心血管疾病(CVD)(RR = 3.00,95% CI = 2.41 - 3.73)、恶性肿瘤(RR = 2.91,95% CI = 2.16 - 3.91)、脑血管意外(CVA)(RR = 2.86,95% CI = 1.95 - 4.19)、糖尿病(RR = 2.10,95% CI = 2.16 - 3.91)、高血压(RR = 2.02,95% CI = 1.82 - 2.23)和慢性肾脏病(RR = 2.00,95% CI = 1.36 - 2.94)。在按危重症类型进行的亚组分析中,除慢性肝病和慢性肾脏病外,合并症的存在显著增加了严重感染、入住重症监护病房(ICU)和心脏损伤的风险。既往高血压和糖尿病还增加了急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)的风险。在合并症中,COPD导致重症COVID-19、入住ICU和肝损伤的可能性最高,而恶性肿瘤最易导致ARDS和心脏损伤。总之,既往存在的COPD、CVD、CVA、高血压、糖尿病和恶性肿瘤更有可能使COVID-19的病情恶化,并伴有严重感染、需要入住ICU以及发生心脏损伤。