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丹麦 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的流行情况:全国范围内的基于人群的血清流行病学研究。

Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Denmark: nationwide, population-based seroepidemiological study.

机构信息

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300, Copenhagen S, Denmark.

Department of Virus and Microbiological Special Diagnostics, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, 2300, Copenhagen S, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2021 Jul;36(7):715-725. doi: 10.1007/s10654-021-00796-8. Epub 2021 Aug 22.

Abstract

Seroprevalence studies have proven an important tool to monitor the progression of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We present results of consecutive population-based seroprevalence surveys performed in Denmark in 2020. In spring, late summer and autumn/winter of 2020, invitation letters including a questionnaire covering symptoms were sent to representative samples of the population above 12 years and to parents of children below 18 years in the sample. Blood samples were analysed for total Ig and seroprevalence estimates per population segment were calculated and compared to other surveillance parameters. Based on 34 081 participants (participation rate 33%), seroprevalence estimates increased from 1.2% (95%CI: 0.3-1.9%) in May to 4.1% (95%CI: 3.1-4.9%) in December 2020. Seroprevalence estimates were roughly three times higher in those aged 12-29 years compared to 65 + and higher in metropolitan municipalities. By December 2020, 1.5% of the population had tested positive by RT-PCR. Infected individuals in older age groups were hospitalised several fold more often than in younger. Amongst seropositives, loss of taste/smell were the more specific symptoms, 32-56% did not report any symptoms. In more than half of seroconverted families, we did not see evidence of transmission between generations. Seroprevalence increased during 2020; adolescents were primarily infected in the autumn/winter. Denmark has a high per capita test rate; roughly one undiagnosed infection of SARS-CoV-2 were estimated to occur for each diagnosed case. Approximately half were asymptomatically infected. The epidemic appears to have progressed relatively modestly during 2020 in Denmark.

摘要

血清流行率研究已被证明是监测 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行进展的重要工具。我们呈现了 2020 年在丹麦连续进行的基于人群的血清流行率调查结果。在 2020 年的春季、夏末和秋季/冬季,向 12 岁以上人群的代表性样本以及样本中 18 岁以下儿童的父母发送了包含症状问卷的邀请信。分析了血液样本中的总 Ig,并按人群段计算了血清流行率估计值,并与其他监测参数进行了比较。基于 34081 名参与者(参与率为 33%),血清流行率估计值从 5 月的 1.2%(95%CI:0.3-1.9%)上升至 12 月的 4.1%(95%CI:3.1-4.9%)。12-29 岁人群的血清流行率估计值比 65 岁以上人群高约三倍,大都市地区的流行率估计值更高。到 2020 年 12 月,1.5%的人口通过 RT-PCR 检测呈阳性。年龄较大的感染人群住院的可能性是年轻人群的数倍。在血清阳性者中,失去味觉/嗅觉是更具特异性的症状,32-56%的人没有报告任何症状。在一半以上的血清转化家庭中,我们没有发现代际传播的证据。血清流行率在 2020 年有所上升;青少年主要在秋季/冬季感染。丹麦的人均检测率很高;估计每诊断出一例 SARS-CoV-2 感染,就有大约一例未被诊断的感染。大约一半的人无症状感染。2020 年期间,丹麦的疫情似乎进展相对温和。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/029e/8403616/74d5163a05f5/10654_2021_796_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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